Vashakidze N, Mebonia N, Gvamichava R
Tbilisi State Medical University; National Center for Disease Control and Public Health of Georgia.
Georgian Med News. 2018 Nov(284):27-32.
The aim of the study was to describe prognostic factors of Breast Cancer (BC) survival in relation to patient's age at diagnosis. Cox proportional hazard regression model was constructed. All women aged ≤80 years, diagnosed from 2006 to 2015 with invasive breast cancer, and included in the national cancer registry database, were eligible for inclusion in the analysis. We estimated hazard (mortality) ratio (HR) and 95% of confidence interval (95%CI). The patients under 41 years were selected as a reference group. High risk of death was defined as a mortality of BC patients within 5 years after diagnosis. Total number of BC cases enrolled in the study is 3852, about 10% of patients was under 41 years (a young group), 50% - 41-59 years (a middle age group), and 40% - 60 years and over (an elderly group). There were some age-specific differences in almost all the variables of interest: for example, 53.3% of patients aged under 41 years were detected at early stages (the first and second) compared with 46% in patients aged 41-59 years, and 45% in patients aged ≥60 years old. Younger women were more likely to have histologically poorly differentiated tumor; it was 42%, 35%, and 31% in young, middle, and elderly age group of patients accordingly. Utilization of radio and chemotherapy decreased with age. Application of radio and chemotherapy among young group of patients in comparison with older counterparts were about twice and 1.2 times higher accordingly. The HR for cancer cases detected at any stage, except of the first stage, was increasing with age and it was the highest and statistically significant for older patients, diagnosed at the second (HR=2.84; 95%CI=1.02-7.95) and fourth stages (HR=2.71; 95%CI=1.64-4.49). Poorly differentiated cancer has the worst outcome among elderly - aged ≥60 years old (HR=2.78; 95%CI=1.61-4.80), while moderately differentiated cancer survival is not related with patients' age during detection of cancer. In addition, absence of a radio or chemotherapy treatment is associated with increased hazard of mortality. In conclusion, the relatively low risk of mortality among young women diagnosed with BC in Georgia can be explained by the higher proportion of cases in the early stages and the high level of use of chemotherapy and radiotherapy.
本研究的目的是描述乳腺癌(BC)生存的预后因素与诊断时患者年龄的关系。构建了Cox比例风险回归模型。所有年龄≤80岁、在2006年至2015年期间被诊断为浸润性乳腺癌并纳入国家癌症登记数据库的女性均有资格纳入分析。我们估计了风险(死亡率)比(HR)和95%置信区间(95%CI)。将41岁以下的患者作为参照组。高死亡风险定义为BC患者在诊断后5年内的死亡率。本研究纳入的BC病例总数为3852例,约10%的患者年龄在41岁以下(年轻组),50%在41 - 59岁(中年组),40%在60岁及以上(老年组)。几乎所有感兴趣的变量都存在一些年龄特异性差异:例如,41岁以下患者中有53.3%在早期阶段(第一和第二阶段)被检测出,而41 - 59岁患者中这一比例为46%,≥60岁患者中为45%。年轻女性更有可能患有组织学低分化肿瘤;相应地,年轻、中年和老年患者组中的比例分别为42%、35%和31%。放疗和化疗的使用率随年龄下降。与老年患者相比,年轻患者组中放疗和化疗的应用率分别高出约两倍和1.2倍。除第一阶段外,在任何阶段检测出的癌症病例的HR随年龄增加,对于在第二阶段(HR = 2.84;95%CI = 1.02 - 7.95)和第四阶段(HR = 2.71;95%CI = 1.64 - 4.49)诊断出的老年患者,HR最高且具有统计学意义。低分化癌症在≥60岁的老年患者中预后最差(HR = 2.78;95%CI = 1.61 - 4.80),而中分化癌症的生存率与癌症检测时患者的年龄无关。此外,未进行放疗或化疗与死亡风险增加相关。总之,格鲁吉亚诊断为BC的年轻女性相对较低的死亡风险可以通过早期病例比例较高以及化疗和放疗的高使用率来解释。