Mapes A A, Stoel R D, de Poot C J, Vergeer P, Huyck M
Amsterdam University of Applied Sciences (HvA), PO Box 1025, Amsterdam BA 1000, The Netherlands.
Netherlands Forensic Institute, Postbus 24044, Den Haag 2490 AA, The Netherlands.
Sci Justice. 2019 Jan;59(1):29-45. doi: 10.1016/j.scijus.2018.05.003. Epub 2018 May 4.
Mobile Rapid DNA technology is close to being incorporated into crime scene investigations, with the potential to identify a perpetrator within hours. However, the use of these techniques entails the risk of losing the sample and potential evidence, because the device not only consumes the inserted sample, it is also is less sensitive than traditional technologies used in forensic laboratories. Scene of Crime Officers (SoCOs) therefore will face a 'time/success rate trade-off' issue when making a decision to apply this technology. In this study we designed and experimentally tested a Decision Support System (DSS) for the use of Rapid DNA technologies based on Rational Decision Theory (RDT). In a vignette study, where SoCOs had to decide on the use of a Rapid DNA analysis device, participating SoCOs were assigned to either the control group (making decisions under standard conditions), the Success Rate (SR) group (making decisions with additional information on DNA success rates of traces), or the DSS group (making decisions supported by introduction to RDT, including information on DNA success rates of traces). This study provides positive evidence that a systematic approach for decision-making on using Rapid DNA analysis assists SoCOs in the decision to use the rapid device. The results demonstrated that participants using a DSS made different and more transparent decisions on the use of Rapid DNA analysis when different case characteristics were explicitly considered. In the DSS group the decision to apply Rapid DNA analysis was influenced by the factors "time pressure" and "trace characteristics" like DNA success rates. In the SR group, the decisions depended solely on the trace characteristics and in the control group the decisions did not show any systematic differences on crime type or trace characteristic. Guiding complex decisions on the use of Rapid DNA analyses with a DSS could be an important step towards the use of these devices at the crime scene.
移动快速DNA技术已接近被纳入犯罪现场调查,有望在数小时内识别出犯罪者。然而,使用这些技术存在样本和潜在证据丢失的风险,因为该设备不仅会消耗插入的样本,而且其灵敏度低于法医实验室使用的传统技术。因此,犯罪现场勘查人员(Scene of Crime Officers,简称SoCOs)在决定应用这项技术时将面临一个“时间/成功率权衡”的问题。在本研究中,我们基于理性决策理论(RDT)设计并通过实验测试了一个用于快速DNA技术使用的决策支持系统(DSS)。在一个案例研究中,SoCOs必须决定是否使用快速DNA分析设备,参与研究的SoCOs被分配到对照组(在标准条件下做出决策)、成功率(SR)组(根据痕迹DNA成功率的额外信息做出决策)或DSS组(在引入RDT的支持下做出决策,包括痕迹DNA成功率的信息)。本研究提供了积极的证据,表明一种使用快速DNA分析的系统决策方法有助于SoCOs决定是否使用快速设备。结果表明,当明确考虑不同案件特征时,使用DSS的参与者在使用快速DNA分析方面做出了不同且更透明的决策。在DSS组中,应用快速DNA分析的决策受到“时间压力”和“痕迹特征”(如DNA成功率)等因素的影响。在SR组中,决策仅取决于痕迹特征,而在对照组中,决策在犯罪类型或痕迹特征方面没有显示出任何系统性差异。使用DSS指导关于快速DNA分析使用的复杂决策可能是在犯罪现场使用这些设备的重要一步。