iPSYCH-The Lundbeck Foundation Initiative for Integrative Psychiatric Research, Aarhus, Denmark.
NCRR-National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Epidemiology. 2019 Mar;30(2):246-255. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000957.
Childhood and adolescent mortality accounts for a substantial proportion of years lost prematurely. Reducing childhood and adolescent mortality relies on knowing characteristics of those at elevated risk of dying young. We therefore aimed to identify such characteristics; our main hypothesis is that psychosocial adversity in infancy is linked to increased mortality rates in childhood and adolescence.
We conducted a register-based cohort study involving all 1,549,581 children born to Danish-born parents in Denmark between 1 January 1981 and 31 December 2010. For each infant, we extracted data relevant to Rutter's indicators of adversity (low social class, parents not cohabiting, large family size, paternal criminality, maternal mental disorder, and placement in out-of-home care). Follow-up began on the cohort member's first birthday. We estimated the association between adversity score (the number of Rutter's indicators of adversity present in infancy) and death via. Cox regression.
During follow-up (18,874,589 person-years), 2,081 boys and 1,420 girls died before or on their 18th birthday. The hazard ratios for death were 2.3 (95% CI = 1.9, 2.9) and 2.1 (95% CI = 1.6, 2.7) for boys and girls with adversity scores of 3-6 compared with those with a score of 0. These associations were driven by causes of death with known links to psychosocial adversity.
While absolute mortality rates were low, infants with adversity scores of 3-6 were approximately twice as likely to die prematurely compared with infants with adversity scores of 0. Whether these associations generalize to other countries should be subjected to further study.
儿童和青少年的死亡率占过早丧失生命的很大一部分。降低儿童和青少年的死亡率依赖于了解那些有早逝风险的人的特征。因此,我们旨在确定这些特征;我们的主要假设是婴儿期的心理社会逆境与儿童和青少年死亡率的增加有关。
我们进行了一项基于登记的队列研究,该研究涉及 1981 年 1 月 1 日至 2010 年 12 月 31 日期间在丹麦出生的父母所生的 1549581 名儿童。对于每个婴儿,我们提取了与 Rutter 逆境指标(社会阶层低、父母不住在一起、家庭规模大、父亲犯罪、母亲精神障碍和安置在家庭外护理)相关的数据。随访从队列成员的一岁生日开始。我们通过 Cox 回归估计了逆境评分(婴儿期 Rutter 逆境指标的数量)与死亡之间的关联。
在随访期间(18874589 人年),2081 名男孩和 1420 名女孩在 18 岁生日前或生日当天死亡。与逆境评分为 0 的男孩和女孩相比,逆境评分为 3-6 的男孩和女孩的死亡风险比为 2.3(95%CI=1.9,2.9)和 2.1(95%CI=1.6,2.7)。这些关联是由与心理社会逆境有关的已知死因驱动的。
虽然绝对死亡率较低,但逆境评分为 3-6 的婴儿与逆境评分为 0 的婴儿相比,过早死亡的可能性约高两倍。这些关联是否适用于其他国家,应该进一步研究。