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年龄和合并症在感染性心内膜炎患者死亡率中的作用。

Role of age and comorbidities in mortality of patients with infective endocarditis.

机构信息

Infectious Diseases Unit, Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, University of Cantabria, IDIVAL, Santander, Spain.

Division of Health Care Quality, Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, IDIVAL, Santander, Spain.

出版信息

Eur J Intern Med. 2019 Jun;64:63-71. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2019.03.006. Epub 2019 Mar 21.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to analyse the characteristics of patients with IE in three groups of age and to assess the ability of age and the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to predict mortality.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of all patients with IE included in the GAMES Spanish database between 2008 and 2015.Patients were stratified into three age groups:<65 years,65 to 80 years,and ≥ 80 years.The area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was calculated to quantify the diagnostic accuracy of the CCI to predict mortality risk.

RESULTS

A total of 3120 patients with IE (1327 < 65 years;1291 65-80 years;502 ≥ 80 years) were enrolled.Fever and heart failure were the most common presentations of IE, with no differences among age groups.Patients ≥80 years who underwent surgery were significantly lower compared with other age groups (14.3%,65 years; 20.5%,65-79 years; 31.3%,≥80 years). In-hospital mortality was lower in the <65-year group (20.3%,<65 years;30.1%,65-79 years;34.7%,≥80 years;p < 0.001) as well as 1-year mortality (3.2%, <65 years; 5.5%, 65-80 years;7.6%,≥80 years; p = 0.003).Independent predictors of mortality were age ≥ 80 years (hazard ratio [HR]:2.78;95% confidence interval [CI]:2.32-3.34), CCI ≥ 3 (HR:1.62; 95% CI:1.39-1.88),and non-performed surgery (HR:1.64;95% CI:11.16-1.58).When the three age groups were compared,the AUROC curve for CCI was significantly larger for patients aged <65 years(p < 0.001) for both in-hospital and 1-year mortality.

CONCLUSION

There were no differences in the clinical presentation of IE between the groups. Age ≥ 80 years, high comorbidity (measured by CCI),and non-performance of surgery were independent predictors of mortality in patients with IE.CCI could help to identify those patients with IE and surgical indication who present a lower risk of in-hospital and 1-year mortality after surgery, especially in the <65-year group.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在分析三组不同年龄段患者感染性心内膜炎(IE)的特征,并评估年龄和 Charlson 合并症指数(CCI)对死亡率的预测能力。

方法

这是一项针对 2008 年至 2015 年期间纳入 GAMES 西班牙数据库的所有 IE 患者的前瞻性队列研究。将患者分为三组:<65 岁、65-80 岁和≥80 岁。计算受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积以量化 CCI 预测死亡率风险的诊断准确性。

结果

共纳入 3120 例 IE 患者(<65 岁 1327 例;65-80 岁 1291 例;≥80 岁 502 例)。发热和心力衰竭是 IE 最常见的表现,各年龄段之间无差异。与其他年龄组相比,接受手术的≥80 岁患者明显减少(14.3%,<65 岁;20.5%,65-79 岁;31.3%,≥80 岁)。<65 岁组住院死亡率(20.3%,<65 岁;30.1%,65-79 岁;34.7%,≥80 岁)和 1 年死亡率(3.2%,<65 岁;5.5%,65-80 岁;7.6%,≥80 岁)均较低(p<0.001)。死亡率的独立预测因素为年龄≥80 岁(风险比[HR]:2.78;95%置信区间[CI]:2.32-3.34)、CCI≥3(HR:1.62;95% CI:1.39-1.88)和未行手术(HR:1.64;95% CI:11.16-1.58)。当比较三组时,CCI 的 AUROC 曲线在<65 岁患者中对住院和 1 年死亡率的预测均显著更大(p<0.001)。

结论

各组 IE 的临床表现无差异。年龄≥80 岁、高合并症(CCI 衡量)和未行手术是 IE 患者死亡率的独立预测因素。CCI 有助于识别那些具有手术指征的 IE 患者,他们在手术后的住院和 1 年死亡率风险较低,尤其是<65 岁组。

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