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脓毒症幸存者心肌梗死和中风的危险因素:竞争风险分析。

Risk Factors for Myocardial Infarction and Stroke Among Sepsis Survivors: A Competing Risks Analysis.

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan and Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Taoyuan, Taiwan.

Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA.

出版信息

J Intensive Care Med. 2020 Jan;35(1):34-41. doi: 10.1177/0885066619844936. Epub 2019 May 12.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Predictors for post-sepsis myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke are yet to be identified due to the competing risk of death.

METHODS

This study included all hospitalized patients with sepsis from National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan between 2000 and 2011. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of MI and stroke requiring hospitalization within 180 days following hospital discharge from the index sepsis episode. The association between predictors and post-sepsis MI and stroke were analyzed using cumulative incidence competing risk model that controlled for the competing risk of death.

RESULTS

Among 42 316 patients with sepsis, 1012 (2.4%) patients developed MI and stroke within 180 days of hospital discharge. The leading 5 predictors for post-sepsis MI and stroke are prior cerebrovascular diseases (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.02, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.74-2.32), intra-abdominal infection (HR: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.71-2.20), previous MI (HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.53-2.15), lower respiratory tract infection (HR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.43-1.85), and septic encephalopathy (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.26-2.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline comorbidities and sources of infection were associated with an increased risk of post-sepsis MI and stroke. The identified risk factors may help physicians select a group of patients with sepsis who may benefit from preventive measures, antiplatelet treatment, and other preventive measures for post-sepsis MI and stroke.

摘要

目的

由于死亡的竞争风险,仍需确定败血症后心肌梗死(MI)和中风的预测因素。

方法

本研究纳入了 2000 年至 2011 年期间来自台湾全民健康保险研究数据库的所有住院败血症患者。主要结局是在指数败血症发作后 180 天内首次发生需要住院治疗的 MI 和中风。使用累积发病率竞争风险模型分析预测因素与败血症后 MI 和中风之间的关系,该模型控制了死亡的竞争风险。

结果

在 42316 例败血症患者中,有 1012 例(2.4%)患者在出院后 180 天内发生 MI 和中风。败血症后 MI 和中风的前 5 个预测因素是既往脑血管疾病(风险比[HR]:2.02,95%置信区间[CI]:1.74-2.32)、腹腔内感染(HR:1.94,95% CI:1.71-2.20)、既往 MI(HR:1.81,95% CI:1.53-2.15)、下呼吸道感染(HR:1.62,95% CI:1.43-1.85)和败血症性脑病(HR:1.61,95% CI:1.26-2.06)。

结论

基线合并症和感染源与败血症后 MI 和中风的风险增加相关。确定的危险因素可能有助于医生选择一组可能受益于预防措施、抗血小板治疗和其他败血症后 MI 和中风预防措施的败血症患者。

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