Centre for HIV and STIs, National Institute of Communicable Diseases, Sandringham, Johannesburg, South Africa.
The School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
PLoS One. 2019 May 31;14(5):e0217742. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0217742. eCollection 2019.
BACKGROUND: We describe CD4 count recovery among HIV positive individuals who initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) with and without severe immune suppression using complete laboratory data from South Africa's national HIV treatment programme between 2010 and 2014 and discuss implications for CD4 count monitoring. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of routinely collected laboratory data from South Africa's National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS). A probabilistic record linkage algorithm was used to create a cohort of HIV positive individuals who initiated ART between 2010 and 2014 based on timing of CD4 count and viral load measurements. A CD4 count < 50 copies/μl at ART initiation was considered severe immunosuppression. A multivariable piecewise mixed-effects linear regression model adjusting for age, gender, year of starting ART, viral suppression in follow up and province was used to predict CD4 counts during follow up. RESULTS: 1,070,900 individuals had evidence of starting ART during 2010-2014 and met the criteria for inclusion in the cohort -46.6% starting ART with CD4 < 200 cells/μl and 10.1% with CD4 < 50 cells/ μl. For individuals with CD4 counts < 200 cells/μl, predicted CD4 counts > 200 cells/μl, >350 cells/μl and >500 cells/μl corresponded with mean follow up durations of 1.5 years (standard deviation [s.d] 1.1), 1.9years (s.d 1.2) and 2.1 years (s.d 1.3 years). For those with CD4 counts < 50 cells/μl, predicted CD4 count above these threshold corresponded with mean follow up durations of 2.5 years (s.d 0.9 years), 4.4 years (s.d 0.4 years) and 5.0 years (s.d 0.1years) for recovery to the same thresholds. CD4 count recovery varied mostly with duration on ART, CD4 count at the start of ART and gender. CONCLUSION: For individuals starting with ART with severe immunosuppression, CD4 recovery to 200cells/μl did not occur or took longer than 12 month for significant proportions. CD4 monitoring and interventions recommended for advanced HIV disease should continue until full recovery.
背景:我们描述了在南非国家艾滋病毒治疗规划 2010 年至 2014 年期间,使用完整的实验室数据,对接受抗逆转录病毒疗法(ART)且存在严重免疫抑制和不存在严重免疫抑制的艾滋病毒阳性个体的 CD4 计数恢复情况进行了研究,并讨论了 CD4 计数监测的意义。
方法:对南非国家卫生实验室服务(NHLS)常规收集的实验室数据进行回顾性分析。基于 CD4 计数和病毒载量测量的时间,使用概率记录链接算法创建了一个在 2010 年至 2014 年期间开始接受 ART 的艾滋病毒阳性个体队列。ART 开始时 CD4 计数<50 个拷贝/μl 被认为存在严重免疫抑制。采用多变量分段混合效应线性回归模型,根据年龄、性别、开始接受 ART 的年份、随访期间病毒抑制情况和省份进行调整,以预测随访期间的 CD4 计数。
结果:2010 年至 2014 年期间,有 1070900 人有接受 ART 的证据,并符合纳入队列的标准-46.6%的人在开始接受 ART 时 CD4<200 个细胞/μl,10.1%的人 CD4<50 个细胞/μl。对于 CD4 计数<200 个细胞/μl 的个体,预测 CD4 计数>200 个细胞/μl、>350 个细胞/μl 和>500 个细胞/μl 分别对应于平均随访 1.5 年(标准差[SD]为 1.1)、1.9 年(SD 为 1.2)和 2.1 年(SD 为 1.3 年)。对于 CD4 计数<50 个细胞/μl 的个体,预测 CD4 计数超过这些阈值,分别对应于平均随访 2.5 年(SD 为 0.9 年)、4.4 年(SD 为 0.4 年)和 5.0 年(SD 为 0.1 年),以恢复到相同的阈值。CD4 计数恢复主要与 ART 持续时间、ART 开始时的 CD4 计数和性别有关。
结论:对于开始接受 ART 且存在严重免疫抑制的个体,CD4 计数恢复到 200 个细胞/μl 或需要 12 个月以上才能显著恢复。对于晚期 HIV 疾病推荐的 CD4 监测和干预措施应继续,直至完全恢复。
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