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生命价值统计中对恐惧和风险的溢价。

Dread and Risk Elimination Premium for the Value of a Statistical Life.

机构信息

The Swedish Institute for Health Economics (IHE), Lund, Sweden.

Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Health Economics Unit, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.

出版信息

Risk Anal. 2019 Nov;39(11):2391-2407. doi: 10.1111/risa.13341. Epub 2019 Jun 13.

Abstract

The value of a statistical life (VSL) is a widely used measure for the value of mortality risk reduction. As VSL should reflect preferences and attitudes to risk, there are reasons to believe that it varies depending on the type of risk involved. It has been argued that cancer should be considered a "dread disease," which supports the use of a "cancer premium." The objective of this study is to investigate the existence of a cancer premium (for pancreatic cancer and multiple myeloma) in relation to road traffic accidents, sudden cardiac arrest, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Data were collected from 500 individuals in the Swedish general population of 50-74-year olds using a web-based questionnaire. Preferences were elicited using the contingent valuation method, and a split-sample design was applied to test scale sensitivity. VSL differs significantly between contexts, being highest for ALS and lowest for road traffic accidents. A premium (92-113%) for cancer was found in relation to road traffic accidents. The premium was higher for cancer with a shorter time from diagnosis to death. A premium was also found for sudden cardiac arrest (73%) and ALS (118%) in relation to road traffic accidents. Eliminating risk was associated with a premium of around 20%. This study provides additional evidence that there exist a dread premium and risk elimination premium. These factors should be considered when searching for an appropriate value for economic evaluation and health technology assessment.

摘要

生命统计价值(VSL)是一种广泛用于衡量死亡率降低价值的指标。由于 VSL 应该反映出对风险的偏好和态度,因此有理由相信它会因所涉及的风险类型而异。有人认为癌症应该被视为“可怕的疾病”,这支持使用“癌症溢价”。本研究旨在调查与道路交通碰撞、心源性猝死和肌萎缩侧索硬化(ALS)相关的癌症溢价(胰腺癌和多发性骨髓瘤)是否存在。通过在线问卷从瑞典 50-74 岁的一般人群中收集了 500 名个体的数据。使用条件价值评估法来获得偏好,采用拆分样本设计来检验量表的敏感性。VSL 在不同情况下差异显著,ALS 最高,道路交通碰撞最低。在与道路交通碰撞相关的情况下,发现了癌症溢价(92-113%)。从诊断到死亡的时间越短,癌症溢价越高。在与道路交通碰撞相关的情况下,还发现了心源性猝死(73%)和 ALS(118%)的溢价。消除风险与溢价约 20%相关。本研究进一步证明了存在可怕溢价和风险消除溢价。在寻找经济评估和健康技术评估的适当价值时,应考虑这些因素。

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