McIntosh Sam, Kovalchik Stephanie, Robertson Sam
Institute for Health & Sport, Victoria University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Western Bulldogs Football Club, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Front Psychol. 2019 May 31;10:1283. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2019.01283. eCollection 2019.
This study aimed to develop a model to objectively benchmark professional Australian Rules football (AF) player performance based on age, experience, positional role and both draft type and round in the Australian Football League (AFL). The secondary aims were to identify the stage of peak performance and specific breakpoints in AF player performance longitudinally. AFL Player Ratings data were obtained for all players ( = 1052) from the 1034 matches played during the 2013-2017 seasons, along with data pertaining to the abovementioned player characteristics. Two separate linear mixed models revealed that all factors influenced player performance, with age and experience the strongest in each model, respectively. Tukey tests indicated that performance was affected by age at each level up until the age of 21 (effect ranging from 0.98 to 3.70 rating points), and by experience at the levels 1-20 and 21-40 matches in comparison to all higher levels of experience (effect ranging from 1.01 to 3.77 rating points). Two segmented models indicated that a point of marginal gains exists within longitudinal performance progression between the age levels 22 and 23, and the experience levels 41-60 and 61-80 matches. Professional sporting organisations may apply the methods provided here to support decisions regarding player recruitment and development.
本研究旨在建立一个模型,以根据年龄、经验、场上位置角色以及在澳大利亚足球联赛(AFL)中的选秀类型和轮次,客观地衡量澳大利亚式橄榄球(AF)职业球员的表现。次要目标是纵向确定AF球员表现的巅峰阶段和特定转折点。获取了2013 - 2017赛季期间1034场比赛中所有球员(n = 1052)的AFL球员评分数据,以及与上述球员特征相关的数据。两个独立的线性混合模型显示,所有因素都会影响球员表现,年龄和经验在每个模型中分别是影响最强的因素。Tukey检验表明,在21岁之前的每个年龄段,表现都会受到年龄的影响(效应范围为0.98至3.70评分点),与所有更高经验水平相比,在1 - 20场和21 - 40场比赛的经验水平上,表现会受到经验的影响(效应范围为1.01至3.77评分点)。两个分段模型表明,在22岁和23岁年龄水平之间,以及41 - 60场和61 - 80场比赛经验水平之间的纵向表现进展中存在一个边际收益点。职业体育组织可以应用此处提供的方法来支持有关球员招募和发展的决策。