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利用电价抑制工业污染。

Using electricity prices to curb industrial pollution.

机构信息

Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore.

School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2019 Oct 15;248:109252. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.07.023. Epub 2019 Jul 17.

Abstract

In this study, we show that changes in electricity prices in China have significant environmental consequences through its effect on industrial pollution emissions concentrations. To investigate this relationship, we pair a novel dataset of hourly smokestack-level pollutant emissions of industrial plants in Anhui, China with changes in hourly electricity prices. Using a difference-in-differences (DID) regression model, we find that pollution emissions from these plants have an inverse relationship with electricity prices. This relationship is most prominent for firms in the highly competitive and energy-intensive sectors of metals and cement production. On average, we find that a 1% decrease in electricity price leads to around 1%-5.8% increase in sulfur dioxide and particulate matters emissions concentrations. Similarly, we also found impacts on the number of hours in which emissions were observed. These results suggest that electricity prices could be an effective policy tool for managing air pollution - a challenge currently faced by many low- and middle-income countries. More generally, policymakers need to be cognizant that electricity sector-related policies could generate unintended consequences for the environment.

摘要

在这项研究中,我们通过研究电价变化对工业污染排放浓度的影响,表明中国的电价变化对环境有重大影响。为了研究这种关系,我们将中国安徽的工业工厂烟囱排放的污染物的逐小时数据与逐小时电价变化进行了匹配。利用双重差分(DID)回归模型,我们发现这些工厂的污染排放与电价呈反比关系。这种关系在金属和水泥生产等竞争激烈、能源密集型行业的企业中最为明显。平均而言,我们发现电价每降低 1%,二氧化硫和颗粒物排放浓度就会增加 1%-5.8%。同样,我们还发现了对排放观测小时数的影响。这些结果表明,电价可能是管理空气污染的有效政策工具——这是许多低收入和中等收入国家目前面临的挑战。更广泛地说,政策制定者需要意识到与电力部门相关的政策可能会对环境产生意想不到的后果。

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