CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere , Castray Esplanade, Hobart , Tasmania 7001 , Australia.
Sea Education Association , Woods Hole , Massachusetts 02543 , United States.
Environ Sci Technol. 2020 Jan 21;54(2):790-796. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.9b04812. Epub 2020 Jan 8.
Since the start of commercial plastics production in the 1940s, global production has rapidly accelerated, doubling approximately every 11 years. Despite this increase and clear evidence of plastics loss into the oceans, including a substantial standing stock, previous research has not detected a temporal trend in plastic particle concentration in the surface ocean. Using a generalized additive statistical model, we examined the longest data set on floating plastic debris available globally, collected using plankton nets in the western North Atlantic from 1986 to 2015. There was a significant increasing temporal trend in plastic particle concentration that tracked cumulative global plastics production. We estimated an increase of 506,000 tons of floating plastic in the ocean in 2010 alone or 0.2% of global production. Our results suggest that, while loss of plastic particles from the surface ocean undoubtedly occurs, the input exceeds the collective losses.
自 20 世纪 40 年代商业塑料生产开始以来,全球产量迅速增长,大约每 11 年翻一番。尽管产量增加,而且明显有塑料进入海洋的证据,包括大量的存量,但之前的研究并未检测到海洋表面塑料颗粒浓度的时间趋势。本研究使用广义加性统计模型,对全球范围内可用的最长的漂浮塑料碎片数据集进行了研究,该数据集是 1986 年至 2015 年期间在北大西洋西部使用浮游网收集的。塑料颗粒浓度存在显著的时间趋势,与全球塑料总产量呈正相关。我们估计,仅 2010 年就有 50.6 万吨漂浮塑料进入海洋,占全球总产量的 0.2%。研究结果表明,尽管塑料颗粒从海洋表面的损失无疑会发生,但输入量超过了集体损失量。