Ibrahim Elhakim A, Adedini Sunday A, OOyedokun Amos O, Akinyemi Akanni I, Titilayo Ayotunde
Department of Demography and Social Statistics, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, Nigeria.
Department of Demography, College of Public Policy, The University of Texas at San Antonio, USA.
Afr J Reprod Health. 2019 Sep;23(3):120-133. doi: 10.29063/ajrh2019/v23i3.11.
Births in avoidable high-risk contexts defined by the interplay of sub-optimal childbearing age, short spacing, and first and high birth order incur elevated risks of childhood death. However, the extent of disparities in risks of dying in infancy vis-à-vis the continuum of non-high-risk and (un)avoidable high-risk attributes at birth as determined by mother's age at childbirth, child spacing, and birth order characteristics is yet to be adequately explored in Nigeria as elsewhere. To fill this gap, chi-square association test and Cox's proportional hazards regression were used to analyze data of 31,260 nationally representative children aged 0-59 months drawn from 2013 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. Disparities in infant mortality risks were mainly examined across the spectrum of birth-related risk attributes at birth broadly categorized as no extra high-risk, unavoidable first- order risk and combined avoidable high-risk. The risks of dying in infancy differed significantly by risk attributes to the extent dictated by other confounders. Also, infant mortality risks varied significantly by all moderating factors excluding religion, water source, toilet type and place of delivery. Interventions targeted at reducing avoidable high-risk fertility rate and strengthening health system to provide life-saving care to most-at-risk children would engender rapid improvement in infant survival.
由次优生育年龄、生育间隔短以及头胎和高胎次生育相互作用所界定的可避免高风险生育环境下的出生,会使儿童死亡风险升高。然而,在尼日利亚以及其他地方,相对于由母亲分娩年龄、生育间隔和胎次特征所决定的出生时非高风险和(不可)避免高风险属性连续体而言,婴儿死亡风险的差异程度尚未得到充分探究。为填补这一空白,采用卡方关联检验和考克斯比例风险回归分析了从2013年尼日利亚人口与健康调查中抽取的31260名具有全国代表性的0至59个月儿童的数据。婴儿死亡风险的差异主要是在出生时与生育相关的风险属性范围内进行考察的,这些属性大致分为无额外高风险、不可避免的头胎风险和综合可避免高风险。在其他混杂因素所决定的程度上,婴儿死亡风险因风险属性而有显著差异。此外,除宗教、水源、厕所类型和分娩地点外,所有调节因素都会使婴儿死亡风险有显著差异。针对降低可避免的高风险生育率以及加强卫生系统以便为风险最高的儿童提供挽救生命的护理的干预措施,将使婴儿存活率迅速提高。