KWR Water Research Institute, Groningenhaven 7, P.O. Box 1072, 3430 BB Nieuwegein, the Netherlands; Centre for Water Systems, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter EX4 4QF, UK.
Centre for Water Systems, University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter EX4 4QF, UK.
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Mar 10;707:136078. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.136078. Epub 2019 Dec 12.
The design, construction and maintenance of Critical Infrastructures (CI) is commonly based on standards that are rigorous, so as to withstand any climate or weather-linked pressures. However, due to climate change, climate characteristics may shift, resulting in increased frequency/magnitude of potential failures, or exposure to new unknown risks. As vital components for the normal functioning of modern societies, the resilience of CIs under climate stressors encompasses their structural integrity, their operational elements, and their capacity to maximize business output. In this work, we propose an integrated and participatory methodological approach to enhance the resilience of interconnected CIs to urban flooding under climate change, by assessing the risk and introducing adaptation measures. The main objectives of the proposed methodology and approach are: (i) to provide scientific evidence for better understanding of how future climate regimes might affect normal operation of interconnected CI in urban areas during their lifespan; (ii) to assess the cost-effectiveness of different adaptation measures; (iii) to involve local stakeholders and operators in the co-design of the approach, as well as the assessment and the evaluation of adaptation measures; (iv) to combine computational modelling with advanced 3D visualisation techniques for effectively engaging stakeholders in decision making; (v) to include risk assessment and damage functions co-designed by end-users and local stakeholders; (vi) to integrate all of the aforementioned components in a specifically designed cloud platform as a Decision Support System for end-users, (vii) to validate the DSS by the end users and local stakeholders. The paper presents the computational background and tools. Additionally, it describes a Case Study in Torbay, UK, where the full methodology and the proposed participatory approach have been applied, with all the specifics, i.e., the scenarios of extreme flooding, the numerical and visualisation results, the response of the stakeholders and the evaluation of selected adaptation measures.
关键基础设施(CI)的设计、建设和维护通常基于严格的标准,以承受任何与气候相关的压力或天气压力。然而,由于气候变化,气候特征可能会发生变化,从而导致潜在故障的频率/幅度增加,或面临新的未知风险。作为现代社会正常运行的重要组成部分,CI 在气候胁迫下的弹性包括其结构完整性、运行要素以及最大限度提高业务产出的能力。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种综合的、参与性的方法,通过评估风险和引入适应措施来提高相互关联的 CI 在气候变化下对城市洪水的弹性。所提出的方法和方法的主要目标是:(i)提供科学证据,以更好地了解未来气候模式可能如何影响城市地区相互关联的 CI 在其使用寿命内的正常运行;(ii)评估不同适应措施的成本效益;(iii)让当地利益相关者和运营商参与方法的共同设计以及适应措施的评估和评估;(iv)将计算建模与先进的 3D 可视化技术相结合,以便有效地让利益相关者参与决策;(v)包括由最终用户和当地利益相关者共同设计的风险评估和损坏功能;(vi)将所有上述组件集成到一个专门设计的云平台中,作为最终用户的决策支持系统;(vii)由最终用户和当地利益相关者验证 DSS。本文介绍了计算背景和工具。此外,它描述了英国托贝的一个案例研究,在那里已经应用了完整的方法和所提出的参与式方法,以及所有的细节,即极端洪水的情景、数值和可视化结果、利益相关者的反应以及选定适应措施的评估。