Am J Epidemiol. 2020 Jun 1;189(6):602-612. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwz282.
Numerous studies have indicated that ambient particulate matter is closely associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease, yet the evidence for its association with renal disease remains underrecognized. We aimed to estimate the association between long-term exposure to fine particulate matter, defined as particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm (PM2.5), and mortality from renal failure (RF) among participants in the Elderly Health Service Cohort in Hong Kong, China, from 1998 to 2010. PM2.5 concentration at the residential address of each participant was estimated based on a satellite-based spatiotemporal model. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate risks of overall RF and cause-specific mortality associated with PM2.5. After excluding 5,373 subjects without information on residential address or relevant covariates, we included 61,447 participants in data analyses. We identified 443 RF deaths during the 10 years of follow-up. For an interquartile-range increase in PM2.5 concentration (3.22 μg/m3), hazard ratios for RF mortality were 1.23 (95% confidence interval: 1.06, 1.43) among all cohort participants and 1.42 (95% confidence interval: 1.16, 1.74) among patients with chronic kidney disease. Long-term exposure to atmospheric PM2.5 might be an important risk factor for RF mortality in the elderly, especially among persons with existing renal diseases.
大量研究表明,环境细颗粒物与心血管疾病风险增加密切相关,但细颗粒物与肾脏疾病之间的关联仍未得到充分认识。本研究旨在评估香港老年保健队列参与者在 1998 年至 2010 年期间,长期暴露于细颗粒物(定义为空气动力学直径小于或等于 2.5μm 的颗粒物)与肾衰竭(RF)死亡率之间的关系。基于卫星时空模型来估计每位参与者居住地址处的 PM2.5 浓度。我们采用 Cox 比例风险回归来估计与 PM2.5 相关的总体 RF 和特定原因死亡率的风险。在排除了 5373 名无居住地址或相关协变量信息的受试者后,我们将 61447 名参与者纳入数据分析。在 10 年的随访期间,我们共确定了 443 例 RF 死亡病例。对于 PM2.5 浓度的四分位间距增加(3.22μg/m3),全队列参与者中 RF 死亡率的危险比为 1.23(95%置信区间:1.06,1.43),慢性肾脏病患者的危险比为 1.42(95%置信区间:1.16,1.74)。长期暴露于大气 PM2.5 可能是老年人 RF 死亡率的一个重要危险因素,尤其是在患有现有肾脏疾病的人群中。