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绿色信贷对中国产业结构的影响:理论机制与实证分析。

Impact of green credit on industrial structure in China: theoretical mechanism and empirical analysis.

机构信息

School of Economics, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou, 310018, China.

Center for Regional Economy & Integrated Development, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou, 310018, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Apr;27(10):10506-10519. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-07717-4. Epub 2020 Jan 15.

Abstract

Chinese industrial structure is characterized by a large proportion of industries with high energy consumption and high pollution, such as coal, steel, and cement production, and with only a small proportion of green and environment protection industries. In order to optimize this structure, the Chinese government has clearly proposed to upgrade the industrial structure by solving funding problems in the field of environmental protection in the 13th 5-year plan. However, there are no systematic researches on how green credit affects industrial structure and what the corresponding effects are in the current theoretical circle. Therefore, by analyzing current situations of green credit and the industrial structure, this research explores mechanisms concerning the effects of green credit on the industrial structure. Furthermore, this study conducts an empirical research by using a fixed effects model constructed based on sample data from eastern, central, and western China from 2006 to 2016. The results find that (1) green credit mainly influences the industrial structure through capital and funding channels of enterprises. (2) On the whole, China's green credit has significant effects on the transformation of the industrial structure. (3) Influences of green credit in China on the industrial structure are significantly different in each region. In order to effectively upgrade the industrial structure, for the related stakeholders, some effective ways are to establish a sound legal system for green credit, raise depth of understanding on green credit, and implement green credit according to local conditions.

摘要

中国的工业结构以高能耗、高污染产业为主,如煤炭、钢铁、水泥生产,而绿色环保产业比例较小。为了优化这种结构,中国政府在“十三五”规划中明确提出要通过解决环保领域的资金问题来升级产业结构。然而,在当前的理论界,对于绿色信贷如何影响产业结构以及相应的影响是什么,还没有系统的研究。因此,本研究通过分析绿色信贷和产业结构的现状,探讨了绿色信贷对产业结构影响的作用机制。此外,本研究还利用 2006 年至 2016 年中国东部、中部和西部地区的样本数据构建固定效应模型进行了实证研究。结果发现:(1)绿色信贷主要通过企业的资金和融资渠道影响产业结构;(2)总体而言,中国的绿色信贷对产业结构的转型有显著影响;(3)绿色信贷对中国产业结构的影响在各地区存在显著差异。为了有效升级产业结构,对于相关利益相关者来说,一些有效的方法是建立健全的绿色信贷法律制度、提高对绿色信贷的认识,并根据当地情况实施绿色信贷。

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