Coffey Sean, Park Seri
Civil Department, IH Engineers, Princeton, New Jersey.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Villanova University, Villanova, Pennsylvania.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2020;21(7):470-475. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2020.1795843. Epub 2020 Jul 22.
With every change in a roadway to improve the network operational performance, the roadway safety behavior is impacted. Part-time shoulder use (PTSU) is one strategy that significantly impacts the operational performance of a roadway for several hours each workday. This study evaluates the impact of PTSU on safety behavior and the possibility of crash prevention.
Current predictive safety measures do not account for the part-time dimensional changes of PTSU effectively. Using Vissim-based microsimulation trajectory data in the Surrogate Safety Assessment Model (SSAM) program, developed by the Federal Highway Administration, this study gauged the safety disposition of Interstate 476 (I-476) in southeast Pennsylvania (PA). The two key safety evaluation factors include the number of conflicts and the time-to-collision (TTC) of each conflict. The number of conflicts represents unsafe scenarios that could become crashes if neither possibly impacted vehicles adjusts their route. TTC is the minimum time for the conflict to become a crash if either vehicle's route was not adjusted to avoid the collision. Both factors were averaged across six 20-min periods during the 2-h commuting period simulated.
Due to the improved operational performance, the TTC values for the PTSU scenarios decreased, reducing safety; however, the number of conflicts occurring reduced significantly, counterbalancing the reduced safety from the TTC reduction.
PTSU has great operational improvement effects which create a faster-moving transportation network. The higher speeds caused by the enhanced operations increases the risk of a crash during unsafe situations, but the number of unsafe situations occurring will significantly reduce. The reduced number of unsafe situations indicates an increased probability of crash avoidance but does not indicate a definitive reduction in crashes.
随着道路的每一次改变以提高网络运营性能,道路安全行为都会受到影响。兼职使用路肩(PTSU)是一种在每个工作日会对道路运营性能产生数小时显著影响的策略。本研究评估PTSU对安全行为的影响以及预防碰撞的可能性。
当前的预测安全措施无法有效考虑PTSU的兼职维度变化。本研究利用联邦公路管理局开发的替代安全评估模型(SSAM)程序中基于Vissim的微观模拟轨迹数据,评估了宾夕法尼亚州东南部(PA)476号州际公路(I-476)的安全状况。两个关键的安全评估因素包括冲突数量和每次冲突的碰撞时间(TTC)。冲突数量代表了如果可能受到影响的车辆都不调整路线就可能导致碰撞的不安全场景。TTC是指如果任何一辆车不调整路线以避免碰撞,冲突变成碰撞的最短时间。在模拟的2小时通勤时段内,对六个20分钟时间段的这两个因素进行了平均。
由于运营性能的提高,PTSU场景下的TTC值降低,安全性降低;然而,发生的冲突数量显著减少,抵消了因TTC降低而减少的安全性。
PTSU具有显著的运营改善效果,可打造移动速度更快的交通网络。运营增强导致的更高速度增加了不安全情况下碰撞的风险,但发生的不安全情况数量将显著减少。不安全情况数量的减少表明避免碰撞的可能性增加,但并不表明碰撞一定会减少。