Kettani Maryème, Bandelier Philippe
Institut de Technico-Économie des Systèmes Énergétiques du Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies Alternatives (CEA/DES/ITESE), France.
Université d'Évry Val d'Essonne, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université Paris Saclay, France.
Desalination. 2020 Nov 15;494:114627. doi: 10.1016/j.desal.2020.114627. Epub 2020 Aug 21.
This paper examines the cost competitiveness of an extra-large-scale (275,000 m/d) solar-powered desalination, taking as a case study the Chtouka Ait Baha plant in Morocco. It assesses the conditions at which solar Photovoltaics (PV) and Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) would be competitive with a grid (mainly fossil) driven desalination plant for the reference year and by 2030. The paper considers also a scenario where battery storage complements PV power generation. To conduct the analysis, a simple model of water cost calculation is built. Second, the cost related to energy consumption is calculated for different power supply options to evaluate the impact of energy provision cost on the final cost of water. The first main result of this paper is that desalinated water can be obtained at an acceptable cost of around 1 $/m. The second one is that PV without storage remains the cheapest power supply option today and by 2030. Storage based solution appears less competitive today but can be more attractive in a framework of increasing electricity grid prices and higher flexibility requirements in the future. The paper gives recommendations regarding the implication of different technology choices in the framework of the future Moroccan energy system.
本文以摩洛哥的Chtouka Ait Baha工厂为例,研究了超大规模(275,000立方米/天)太阳能海水淡化的成本竞争力。它评估了太阳能光伏(PV)和聚光太阳能发电(CSP)在基准年及到2030年时与电网(主要是化石能源)驱动的海水淡化厂相比具有竞争力的条件。本文还考虑了电池储能辅助光伏发电的情景。为进行分析,构建了一个简单的水成本计算模型。其次,针对不同的供电选项计算与能源消耗相关的成本,以评估能源供应成本对水的最终成本的影响。本文的第一个主要结果是,可在约1美元/立方米的可接受成本下获得淡化水。第二个结果是,无储能的光伏在当前及到2030年仍是最便宜的供电选项。基于储能的解决方案目前竞争力较弱,但在未来电网电价上涨和灵活性要求更高的框架下可能更具吸引力。本文针对摩洛哥未来能源系统框架下不同技术选择的影响给出了建议。