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择期剖宫产与毛细支气管炎住院治疗:一项回顾性队列研究。

Elective caesarean section and bronchiolitis hospitalization: A retrospective cohort study.

作者信息

Douglas Lindsey C, Leventer-Roberts Maya, Levinkron Ohad, Wilson Karen M

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.

Department of Environmental Medicine and Public Health, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.

出版信息

Pediatr Allergy Immunol. 2021 Feb;32(2):280-287. doi: 10.1111/pai.13380. Epub 2020 Oct 16.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

We sought to evaluate whether elective caesarean section is associated with subsequent hospitalization for bronchiolitis.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study that used the electronic medical record database of Clalit Health Services, the largest healthcare fund in Israel, serving over 4.5 million members and over half of the total population. The primary outcome was bronchiolitis admission in the first 2 years of life. We performed logistic regression analyses to identify independent associations. We repeated the analysis using boosted decision tree machine learning techniques to confirm our findings.

RESULTS

There were 124 553 infants enrolled between 2008 and 2010, and 5168 (4.1%) were hospitalized for bronchiolitis in the first 2 years of life. In logistic regression models stratified by seasons, elective caesarean section birth was associated with 15% increased odds (95% CI: 1.02-1.30) for infants born in the fall season, 28% increased odds (95% CI: 1.11, 1.47) for those born in the winter, 35% increased odds (95% CI: 1.12-1.62) for those born in the spring and 37% increased odds (95% CI: 1.18-1.60) for those born in the summer. In the boosted gradient decision tree analysis, the area under the curve for risk of bronchiolitis admission was 0.663 (95% CI: 0.652, 0.674) with timing of birth as the most important feature.

CONCLUSION

Elective caesarean section, a potentially modifiable risk factor, is associated with increased odds of hospitalization for bronchiolitis in the first 2 years of life. These data should be considered when scheduling elective caesarean sections especially for infants born in spring and summer months.

摘要

背景

我们试图评估择期剖宫产与随后因细支气管炎住院之间是否存在关联。

方法

这是一项回顾性队列研究,使用了以色列最大的医疗保健基金克拉利特医疗服务公司的电子病历数据库,该基金为超过450万会员服务,占总人口的一半以上。主要结局是生命最初2年内因细支气管炎入院。我们进行了逻辑回归分析以确定独立关联。我们使用增强决策树机器学习技术重复分析以证实我们的发现。

结果

2008年至2010年期间共纳入124553名婴儿,其中5168名(4.1%)在生命最初2年内因细支气管炎住院。在按季节分层的逻辑回归模型中,择期剖宫产出生的婴儿在秋季出生时患细支气管炎的几率增加15%(95%置信区间:1.02 - 1.30),冬季出生的婴儿增加28%(95%置信区间:1.11,1.47),春季出生的婴儿增加35%(95%置信区间:1.12 - 1.62),夏季出生的婴儿增加37%(95%置信区间:1.18 - 1.60)。在增强梯度决策树分析中,以出生时间为最重要特征时,细支气管炎入院风险的曲线下面积为0.663(95%置信区间:0.652,0.674)。

结论

择期剖宫产是一个潜在可改变的风险因素,与生命最初2年内因细支气管炎住院的几率增加有关。在安排择期剖宫产时应考虑这些数据,尤其是对于春夏季出生的婴儿。

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