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2007 年至 2017 年埃及儿童癌症生存的时间趋势:来自埃及儿童癌症医院的 14808 例儿童癌症患者的大型回顾性研究。

Temporal trends in childhood cancer survival in Egypt, 2007 to 2017: A large retrospective study of 14 808 children with cancer from the Children's Cancer Hospital Egypt.

机构信息

Department of Continuing Education, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Health Economics and Value Unit, Children's Cancer Hospital 57357 Egypt (CCHE), Cairo, Egypt.

出版信息

Int J Cancer. 2021 Apr 1;148(7):1562-1574. doi: 10.1002/ijc.33321. Epub 2020 Oct 15.

Abstract

Childhood cancer is a priority in Egypt due to large numbers of children with cancer, suboptimal care and insufficient resources. It is difficult to evaluate progress in survival because of paucity of data in National Cancer Registry. In this study, we studied survival rates and trends in survival of the largest available cohort of children with cancer (n = 15 779, aged 0-18 years) from Egypt between 2007 and 2017, treated at Children's Cancer Hospital Egypt-(CCHE), representing 40% to 50% of all childhood cancers across Egypt. We estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) for 14 808 eligible patients using Kaplan-Meier method, and determined survival trends using Cox regression by single year of diagnosis and by diagnosis periods. We compared age-standardized rates to international benchmarks in England and the United States, identified cancers with inferior survival and provided recommendations for improvement. Five-year OS was 72.1% (95% CI 71.3-72.9) for all cancers combined, and survival trends increased significantly by single year of diagnosis (P < .001) and by calendar periods from 69.6% to 74.2% (P < .0001) between 2007-2012 and 2013-2017. Survival trends improved significantly for leukemias, lymphomas, CNS tumors, neuroblastoma, hepatoblastoma and Ewing Sarcoma. Survival was significantly lower by 9% and 11.2% (P < .001) than England and the United States, respectively. Significantly inferior survival was observed for the majority of cancers. Although survival trends are improving for childhood cancers in Egypt/CCHE, survival is still inferior in high-income countries. We provide evidence-based recommendations to improve survival in Egypt by reflecting on current obstacles in care, with further implications on practice and policy.

摘要

儿童癌症是埃及的一个重点关注领域,这是由于该国儿童癌症患者数量众多、治疗水平欠佳且资源不足。由于国家癌症登记处数据匮乏,因此很难评估生存率方面的进展。在这项研究中,我们研究了埃及儿童癌症医院(CCHE)在 2007 年至 2017 年期间治疗的最大规模的儿童癌症患者队列(n = 15779 例,年龄 0-18 岁)的生存率和趋势,该队列占埃及所有儿童癌症的 40%至 50%。我们使用 Kaplan-Meier 法估算了 14808 例合格患者的 5 年总生存率(OS),并通过单一年龄诊断和诊断期使用 Cox 回归来确定生存率趋势。我们将标准化年龄后的比率与英格兰和美国的国际基准进行了比较,确定了生存率较差的癌症,并提出了改进建议。所有癌症的 5 年 OS 为 72.1%(95%CI 71.3-72.9),单一年龄诊断(P <.001)和日历期的生存率趋势显著增加(P <.0001),2007-2012 年和 2013-2017 年分别从 69.6%增加到 74.2%。白血病、淋巴瘤、中枢神经系统肿瘤、神经母细胞瘤、肝母细胞瘤和尤文肉瘤的生存率趋势显著改善。与英格兰和美国相比,生存率分别低 9%和 11.2%(P <.001)。大多数癌症的生存率明显较低。尽管埃及/CCHE 的儿童癌症生存率趋势正在改善,但仍低于高收入国家。我们通过反思当前治疗中的障碍,为埃及提供了提高生存率的循证建议,这对实践和政策也有进一步的影响。

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