Hassan M M, Bottoms S F, Mariona F G, Syner F N, Simkowski K M, Sokol R J
Am J Perinatol. 1987 Jul;4(3):191-4. doi: 10.1055/s-2007-999770.
Fifty-four pregnant patients referred for nonstress testing with findings suggestive of intrauterine growth retardation (IUGR) were followed with serial biochemical determinations and ultrasound evaluations. Confirmation of IUGR was made in 18 of the neonates based on body weights below the 10th percentile. Stepwise discriminate function analysis was used to determine the factors most predictive of IUGR among several clinical, biochemical, and ultrasound parameters as well as their combinations. Only the determinations closest to the time of delivery were used in analysis. The presence of abnormal fetal ultrasound measurements had the highest predictive value. Prepregnancy weight improved the prediction slightly with a proportion of correct predictions increasing from 70 to 74%. Only the extremes of prepregnancy weight altered the prediction made on the basis of ultrasound. In contrast, no significant predictive value was demonstrated for weight gain, heavy cigarette smoking, hypertension, serum estriol, human placental lactogen, alpha-fetoprotein, or a decrease in amniotic fluid volume, either singly or in combination with other variables.
54名因无应激试验结果提示宫内生长受限(IUGR)而前来就诊的孕妇接受了系列生化测定和超声评估随访。18名新生儿根据体重低于第10百分位数确诊为IUGR。采用逐步判别函数分析,以确定在多个临床、生化和超声参数及其组合中最能预测IUGR的因素。分析仅采用最接近分娩时间的测定结果。异常胎儿超声测量结果的预测价值最高。孕前体重略微改善了预测,正确预测比例从70%提高到74%。只有孕前体重的极端情况改变了基于超声的预测。相比之下,体重增加、大量吸烟、高血压、血清雌三醇、人胎盘催乳素、甲胎蛋白或羊水量减少,无论单独还是与其他变量组合,均未显示出显著的预测价值。