Department of Respiration, First People's Hospital of Changzhou, Third Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Changzhou, China.
Cancer Control. 2020 Jan-Dec;27(1):1073274820954461. doi: 10.1177/1073274820954461.
There are few studies on the cause of death in patients with stage I non-small cell lung cancer after surgery. Our aim is to study the trend of cause of death and risk factors affecting prognosis in the patients. We retrospectively reviewed patients in Surveillance, Epidemiology and End results database from 2004 to 2015. The change trend between cause of death and follow-up time was studied by calculating the proportion of cause of death at different periods and analyzing the cumulative risk. COX risk regression model was performed by univariate and multivariate analyses for survival analysis. Finally, 23,652 patients were enrolled. In the whole cohort, lung cancer accounted for 18.68% of deaths, followed by other causes (9.57%), heart disease (5.12%) and COPD (3.89%). With the increasing of follow-up time, the cumulative incidence of lung cancer was always the highest, but the growth rate in the late follow-up period was slower than that caused by heart disease and COPD. The proportion of death due to lung cancer decreased from 53.1%-73.1% in 0-30 months after follow-up to 7.8%-41.4% in 90 months after follow-up, while the proportion of deaths due to heart disease and COPD increased. Age was an independent risk factor for lung cancer-, heart disease- and COPD-specific survival, while lobectomy resection was a protective factor, even in patients older than 70 years old. In conclusion, during the follow-up period, lung cancer was still the main cause of death, but the proportion of patients died of heart disease and COPD increased gradually, especially in elderly. Furthermore, age was an important independent factor affecting prognosis, particularly for heart disease- and COPD-related mortality. The application of wedge resection in elderly patients needs further exploration.
针对术后 I 期非小细胞肺癌患者的死亡原因,相关研究较少。本研究旨在分析该人群的死亡趋势及影响预后的相关因素。我们回顾性分析了 2004 年至 2015 年期间 Surveillance,Epidemiology and End results 数据库中的患者资料。通过计算不同时期的死因比例及分析累积风险,研究了死因随随访时间的变化趋势。采用 COX 单因素及多因素风险回归模型进行生存分析。最终纳入 23652 例患者。在全队列中,肺癌占死亡原因的 18.68%,其次是其他原因(9.57%)、心脏病(5.12%)和 COPD(3.89%)。随着随访时间的增加,肺癌的累积发生率始终最高,但在随访后期的增长率较慢,低于心脏病和 COPD。肺癌导致的死亡比例从随访后 0-30 个月的 53.1%-73.1%下降到 90 个月后的 7.8%-41.4%,而心脏病和 COPD 导致的死亡比例增加。年龄是肺癌、心脏病和 COPD 特异性生存的独立危险因素,而肺叶切除术是保护因素,即使在 70 岁以上的患者中也是如此。总之,在随访期间,肺癌仍然是主要的死亡原因,但心脏病和 COPD 导致的死亡患者比例逐渐增加,尤其是在老年患者中。此外,年龄是影响预后的重要独立因素,尤其是与心脏病和 COPD 相关的死亡率。高龄患者中楔形切除术的应用需要进一步探索。