Israel Ariel, Schäffer Alejandro A, Cicurel Assi, Feldhamer Ilan, Tal Ameer, Cheng Kuoyuan, Sinha Sanju, Schiff Eyal, Lavie Gil, Ruppin Eytan
Division of Planning and Strategy, Clalit Health Services, Tel Aviv 62098, Israel.
Cancer Data Science Laboratory, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA 20892.
medRxiv. 2021 Mar 24:2020.10.13.20211953. doi: 10.1101/2020.10.13.20211953.
Until COVID-19 drugs specifically developed to treat COVID-19 become more widely accessible, it is crucial to identify whether existing medications have a protective effect against severe disease. Towards this objective, we conducted a large population study in Clalit Health Services (CHS), the largest healthcare provider in Israel, insuring over 4.7 million members.
Two case-control matched cohorts were assembled to assess which medications, acquired in the last month, decreased the risk of COVID-19 hospitalization. Case patients were adults aged 18-95 hospitalized for COVID-19. In the first cohort, five control patients, from the general population, were matched to each case (n=6202); in the second cohort, two non-hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 positive control patients were matched to each case (n=6919). The outcome measures for a medication were: odds ratio (OR) for hospitalization, 95% confidence interval (CI), and the p-value, using Fisher's exact test. False discovery rate was used to adjust for multiple testing.
Medications associated with most significantly reduced odds for COVID-19 hospitalization include: ubiquinone (OR=0.185, 95% CI (0.058 to 0.458), p<0.001), ezetimibe (OR=0.488, 95% CI ((0.377 to 0.622)), p<0.001), rosuvastatin (OR=0.673, 95% CI (0.596 to 0.758), p<0.001), flecainide (OR=0.301, 95% CI (0.118 to 0.641), p<0.001), and vitamin D (OR=0.869, 95% CI (0.792 to 0.954), p<0.003). Remarkably, acquisition of artificial tears, eye care wipes, and several ophthalmological products were also associated with decreased risk for hospitalization.
Ubiquinone, ezetimibe and rosuvastatin, all related to the cholesterol synthesis pathway were associated with reduced hospitalization risk. These findings point to a promising protective effect which should be further investigated in controlled, prospective studies.
This research was supported in part by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, NCI.
在专门用于治疗新冠病毒病(COVID-19)的药物更广泛可得之前,确定现有药物是否对重症疾病具有保护作用至关重要。为实现这一目标,我们在以色列最大的医疗服务机构克拉利特医疗服务公司(Clalit Health Services,CHS)开展了一项大规模人群研究,该机构为超过470万成员提供保险。
组建了两个病例对照匹配队列,以评估过去一个月内使用的哪些药物可降低COVID-19住院风险。病例患者为因COVID-19住院的18至95岁成年人。在第一个队列中,从普通人群中为每个病例匹配5名对照患者(n = 6202);在第二个队列中,为每个病例匹配2名未住院的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)阳性对照患者(n = 6919)。一种药物的结局指标为:住院比值比(OR)、95%置信区间(CI)以及使用Fisher精确检验得出的p值。采用错误发现率对多重检验进行校正。
与COVID-19住院几率显著降低最相关的药物包括:辅酶Q10(OR = 0.185,95% CI(0.058至0.458),p <0.001)、依折麦布(OR = 0.488,95% CI(0.377至0.622),p <0.001)、瑞舒伐他汀(OR = 0.673,95% CI(0.596至0.758),p <0.001)、氟卡尼(OR = 0.301,95% CI(0.118至0.641),p <0.001)和维生素D(OR = 0.869,95% CI(0.792至0.954),p <0.003)。值得注意的是,购买人工泪液、眼部护理湿巾和几种眼科产品也与住院风险降低相关。
辅酶Q10、依折麦布和瑞舒伐他汀均与胆固醇合成途径有关,它们与住院风险降低相关。这些发现表明存在一种有前景的保护作用,应在对照的前瞻性研究中进一步探究。
本研究部分得到了美国国立卫生研究院国家癌症研究所(NCI)的内部研究项目支持。