Department of Population Science and Human Resource Development, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi, Bangladesh.
Department of Population Sciences, Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Trishal, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.
J Glob Health. 2020 Dec;10(2):020503. doi: 10.7189/jogh.10.020503.
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the most hectic pandemic of the era, is increasing exponentially and taking thousands of lives worldwide. This study aimed to assess the prevalence of pre-existing comorbidities among COVID-19 patients and their mortality risks with each category of pre-existing comorbidity.
To conduct this systematic review and meta-analysis, Medline, Web of Science, Scopus, and CINAHL databases were searched using pre-specified search strategies. Further searches were conducted using the reference list of the selected studies, renowned preprint servers (eg, medRxiv, bioRxiv, SSRN), and relevant journals' websites. Studies written in the English language included if those were conducted among COVID-19 patients with and without comorbidities and presented survivor vs non-survivor counts or hazard/odds of deaths or survivors with types of pre-existing comorbidities. Comorbidities reported in the selected studies were grouped into eight categories. The pooled likelihoods of deaths in each category were estimated using a fixed or random-effect model, based on the heterogeneity assessment. Publication bias was assessed by visual inspection of the funnel plot asymmetry and Egger's regression test. Trim and Fill method was used if there any publication bias was found.
A total of 41 studies included in this study comprised of 27 670 samples. The most common pre-existing comorbidities in COVID-19 patients were hypertension (39.5%), cardiovascular disease (12.4%), and diabetes (25.2%). The higher likelihood of deaths was found among COVID-19 patients who had pre-existing cardiovascular diseases (odds ratio (OR) = 3.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.86-4.09), immune and metabolic disorders (OR = 2.46, 95% CI = 2.03-2.85), respiratory diseases (OR = 1.94, 95% CI = 1.72-2.19), cerebrovascular diseases (OR = 4.12, 95% CI = 3.04-5.58), any types of cancers (OR = 2.22, 95% CI = 1.63-3.03), renal (OR = 3.02, 95% CI = 2.60-3.51), and liver diseases (OR = 2.35, 95% CI = 1.50-3.69).
This study provides evidence that COVID-19 patients with pre-existing comorbidities had a higher likelihood of death. These findings could potentially help health care providers to sort out the most susceptible COVID-19 patients by comorbidities, take precautionary measures during hospitalization, assess susceptibility to death, and prioritize their treatment, which could potentially reduce the number of fatalities in COVID-19.
2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是时代最繁忙的大流行病,其发病率呈指数级增长,在全球范围内夺走了数千人的生命。本研究旨在评估 COVID-19 患者中先前存在的合并症的流行情况,以及每种先前存在的合并症类别与死亡率的关系。
为了进行这项系统评价和荟萃分析,我们使用预定义的搜索策略在 Medline、Web of Science、Scopus 和 CINAHL 数据库中进行了搜索。此外,还通过选定研究的参考文献列表、著名的预印本服务器(如 medRxiv、bioRxiv、SSRN)和相关期刊网站进行了进一步搜索。本研究纳入了以英语撰写的研究,如果这些研究是在有和没有合并症的 COVID-19 患者中进行的,并报告了幸存者与非幸存者的人数或死亡或幸存者的合并症类型的风险/几率,则将其纳入。在选定的研究中报告的合并症被分为八类。根据异质性评估,使用固定或随机效应模型估计每种类别死亡的可能性。通过视觉检查漏斗图的不对称性和 Egger 回归检验评估发表偏倚。如果发现任何发表偏倚,将使用 Trim and Fill 方法。
本研究共纳入 41 项研究,包含 27670 个样本。COVID-19 患者中最常见的先前存在的合并症是高血压(39.5%)、心血管疾病(12.4%)和糖尿病(25.2%)。患有先前存在的心血管疾病(比值比(OR)=3.42,95%置信区间(CI)=2.86-4.09)、免疫和代谢紊乱(OR=2.46,95%CI=2.03-2.85)、呼吸系统疾病(OR=1.94,95%CI=1.72-2.19)、脑血管疾病(OR=4.12,95%CI=3.04-5.58)、任何类型的癌症(OR=2.22,95%CI=1.63-3.03)、肾脏疾病(OR=3.02,95%CI=2.60-3.51)和肝脏疾病(OR=2.35,95%CI=1.50-3.69)的 COVID-19 患者死亡的可能性更高。
本研究提供的证据表明,患有先前存在的合并症的 COVID-19 患者死亡的可能性更高。这些发现可能有助于医疗保健提供者根据合并症区分最易感染 COVID-19 的患者,在住院期间采取预防措施,评估死亡的易感性,并优先考虑他们的治疗,从而有可能降低 COVID-19 的死亡率。