School of Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, 221116, Xuzhou, People's Republic of China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Feb;28(8):9430-9447. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-11350-6. Epub 2020 Nov 4.
Haze pollution not only has a huge impact on economic development but also seriously damages the health of residents, which has attracted the attention of many countries and scholars. The geographical detector model and the panel quantile regression model are used in combination to analyze the socio-economic driving factors of haze pollution from 2010 to 2015 for 74 significantly representative countries. The main results are as follows: (1) Industrial structure is the main factor affecting the haze concentration, followed by economic growth and research and development (R&D) intensity. (2) Government influence and industrial structure will significantly aggravate haze pollution, whereas the energy intensity and economic growth have an inhibitory effect on haze concentration. Countries with severe haze pollution should focus on upgrading their industrial structure and avoiding energy rebound. (3) Urbanization, foreign investment, and R&D intensity have different effects on the haze concentration among countries with different pollution levels. Specifically, the relationship between economic growth and pollution is inverted N-shaped in countries with medium haze concentration, whereas in other countries, it is positive N-shaped. Countries should actively leverage the agglomeration effect of high-density urban populations and focus on the introduction of high-quality foreign capital.
雾霾污染不仅对经济发展产生巨大影响,还严重损害居民健康,引起了许多国家和学者的关注。本文采用地理探测器模型和面板分位数回归模型,结合分析了 2010-2015 年 74 个具有代表性的国家的社会经济驱动因素对雾霾污染的影响。主要结果如下:(1)产业结构是影响霾浓度的主要因素,其次是经济增长和研发(R&D)强度。(2)政府影响力和产业结构会显著加剧雾霾污染,而能源强度和经济增长对霾浓度有抑制作用。雾霾污染严重的国家应注重产业结构升级,避免能源回弹。(3)城市化、外国投资和研发强度对不同污染水平国家的霾浓度有不同的影响。具体来说,在中度雾霾污染的国家,经济增长与污染之间的关系呈倒 N 型,而在其他国家则呈正 N 型。各国应积极利用高密度城市人口的集聚效应,注重引进高质量的外国资本。