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熵与经济行为调查

A Survey on Entropy and Economic Behaviour.

作者信息

Hellman Ziv, Peretz Ron

机构信息

Department of Economics, Bar-Ilan University, 5290002 Ramat Gan, Israel.

出版信息

Entropy (Basel). 2020 Jan 29;22(2):157. doi: 10.3390/e22020157.

Abstract

Entropy plays a significant role in the study of games and economic behaviour in several ways. A decision maker faced with an n-fold repetition of a decision-making problem needs to apply strategies that become increasingly complex as n increases. When several players are involved in selecting strategies in interactive games, bounds on the memories and cognitive capacities of the players can affect possible outcomes. A player who can recall only the last periods of history is said to have bounded recall of capacity . We present here a brief survey of results of games played by players with different bounded recall capacities, in particular those indicating surprisingly strong relations between memory and entropy in the study of the min-max values of repeated games with bounded recall. In addition, we consider uses of entropy in measuring the value of information of noisy signal structures, also known as experiments. These are represented by stochastic matrices, with the rows representing states of the world and the columns possible signals. The classic ordering of experiments, due to David Blackwell and based on decision-making criteria, is a partial ordering, which has led to attempts to extend this ordering to a total ordering. If a decision maker has a prior distribution over the states, receipt of a signal yields a posterior. The difference between the entropy of a prior and the expected entropy of the set of possible posteriors has been proposed as a natural extension of the Blackwell ordering. We survey this alongside the theory of rational inattention, which posits that, since individuals have limited attention, they do not always follow every single piece of economic news in planning their economic behaviour. By modelling attention limits as finite channel capacity in the sense of Shannon, economists have developed a theory that explains a range of observed economic behavioural phenomena well.

摘要

熵在博弈和经济行为研究中以多种方式发挥着重要作用。面对决策问题n次重复的决策者需要应用随着n增加而变得越来越复杂的策略。当多个参与者在交互式博弈中选择策略时,参与者的记忆和认知能力的限制会影响可能的结果。一个只能回忆起最后 个历史时期的参与者被称为具有有限容量的回忆。我们在此简要概述具有不同有限回忆容量的参与者所进行博弈的结果,特别是那些在具有有限回忆的重复博弈的极小极大值研究中表明记忆与熵之间存在惊人紧密关系的结果。此外,我们考虑熵在测量噪声信号结构(也称为实验)的信息价值方面的应用。这些由随机矩阵表示,其中行代表世界状态,列代表可能的信号。由于大卫·布莱克威尔并基于决策标准的经典实验排序是一种偏序关系,这导致了将这种排序扩展为全序关系的尝试。如果决策者对状态有先验分布,接收到一个信号会产生后验分布。先验熵与一组可能后验分布的期望熵之间的差异已被提议作为布莱克威尔排序的自然扩展。我们将其与理性疏忽理论一起进行综述,该理论假定,由于个体注意力有限,他们在规划经济行为时并不总是关注每一条经济新闻。通过将注意力限制建模为香农意义上的有限信道容量,经济学家们发展出了一种能很好地解释一系列观察到的经济行为现象的理论。

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