Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Cancer Invasion Ministry of Education, Liver Cancer Institute and Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Int J Hyperthermia. 2021;38(1):1-10. doi: 10.1080/02656736.2020.1850885.
OBJECTIVE: Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR), a newly developed blood biomarker, has been reported to have prognostic value in several types of cancer. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of AAPR in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as initial therapy. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed 445 patients with newly diagnosed HCC undergoing RFA as initial therapy. A series of survival analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of AAPR. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors. An AAPR-based nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated. RESULTS: Patients with a low AAPR had a significantly reduced recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with those with a high AAPR. AAPR was found to be an independent prognostic indicator and showed superior discrimination efficacy than other liver function indices. The AAPR-based nomogram had a concordance index value of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65-0.79) in the training cohort and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.63-0.81) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed other existing staging systems. CONCLUSIONS: AAPR serves as a promising indicator of prognosis in patients with early-stage HCC undergoing RFA. The AAPR-based nomogram might contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision making.
目的:白蛋白-碱性磷酸酶比值(AAPR)是一种新开发的血液生物标志物,已被报道在多种癌症中具有预后价值。本研究旨在探讨 AAPR 在接受射频消融(RFA)作为初始治疗的早期肝细胞癌(HCC)患者中的预测价值。
方法:本回顾性研究分析了 445 例接受 RFA 作为初始治疗的新诊断 HCC 患者。进行了一系列生存分析以评估 AAPR 的预后价值。进行了单因素和多因素分析以确定独立的预后因素。构建了基于 AAPR 的列线图,并验证了其预测性能。
结果:与 AAPR 高的患者相比,AAPR 低的患者复发无进展生存(RFS)和总生存(OS)显著降低。AAPR 是独立的预后指标,其判别效能优于其他肝功能指标。基于 AAPR 的列线图在训练队列中的一致性指数值为 0.72(95%置信区间[CI]:0.65-0.79),在验证队列中的一致性指数值为 0.72(95%CI:0.63-0.81),明显优于其他现有分期系统。
结论:AAPR 是 RFA 治疗早期 HCC 患者预后的有前途的指标。基于 AAPR 的列线图可能有助于个体化预后预测和临床决策。
World J Gastrointest Oncol. 2024-1-15