Institute for Technology Assessment, Department of Radiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; Department of Public Health, Health Services Research and Health Technology Assessment, UMIT - University for Health Sciences, Medical Informatics and Technology, Hall i.T., Austria.
Evidence Synthesis, Modeling and Communication, Evidera, San Francisco, California.
Am J Cardiol. 2021 May 15;147:61-69. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2021.01.036. Epub 2021 Feb 20.
Our objective was to perform an economic evaluation of an N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)-supported diagnostic strategy in dyspneic patients suspected of acute heart failure in the emergency department (ED). A decision-tree model was developed to evaluate clinical outcomes and costs for NT-proBNP-supported assessment compared with clinical assessment alone over 6 months from the United States (US) Medicare perspective. The model considered rule-in/rule-out cutoffs identified in the ICON and ICON-RELOADED studies. Acute heart failure prevalence, diagnostic accuracies, and medical resource use conditional on disease status and test results were derived from ICON-RELOADED. Several assumptions based on previous studies of NT-proBNP acute dyspnea and verified with clinicians were applied to medical resource use and assessed in sensitivity analyses. Compared with clinical assessment alone, NT-proBNP-supported assessment improved overall probability of correct diagnosis by a relative 7% (18% for true-positive and 5% for true-negative). This led to relative reductions in medical resource use in ED and hospital, including fewer initial hospitalizations (-14%), required echocardiograms (-31%), cardiology admissions (-16%), intensive care unit admissions (-12%), ED readmissions (-3%), and hospital readmissions (-22%). NT-proBNP use decreased average inpatient management costs by a relative 10%, yielding cost savings of US$2,337 per patient ED visit. These findings were robust in sensitivity analyses. In conclusion, based on a contemporary trial of patients with acute dyspnea, this analysis reaffirmed that using NT-proBNP as a diagnostic tool may improve the management of patients with dyspnea presenting to EDs and is likely to be cost-saving from the US Medicare perspective.
我们的目的是对急诊(ED)疑似急性心力衰竭的呼吸困难患者进行 N 末端脑利钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)支持的诊断策略进行经济评估。从美国(US)医疗保险的角度出发,开发了一个决策树模型来评估 NT-proBNP 支持评估与单独临床评估相比,在 6 个月内的临床结果和成本。该模型考虑了 ICON 和 ICON-RELOADED 研究中确定的纳入/排除截止值。ICON-RELOADED 中得出了急性心力衰竭的患病率、诊断准确性以及根据疾病状态和测试结果使用医疗资源的情况。根据 NT-proBNP 急性呼吸困难的先前研究和与临床医生核实的情况,对医疗资源的使用进行了一些假设,并在敏感性分析中进行了评估。与单独的临床评估相比,NT-proBNP 支持的评估使正确诊断的总体概率相对提高了 7%(真阳性为 18%,真阴性为 5%)。这导致 ED 和医院的医疗资源使用相对减少,包括初始住院治疗减少(-14%)、所需超声心动图减少(-31%)、心脏病学入院减少(-16%)、重症监护病房入院减少(-12%)、ED 再入院减少(-3%)和医院再入院减少(-22%)。NT-proBNP 的使用使住院管理成本相对降低了 10%,每位患者的 ED 就诊节省了 2337 美元。这些发现在敏感性分析中是稳健的。总之,基于对急性呼吸困难患者的当代试验,本分析再次证实,使用 NT-proBNP 作为诊断工具可能改善 ED 呼吸困难患者的管理,从美国医疗保险的角度来看,可能具有成本效益。