Centre of Excellence for Nutrition, North-West University, Potchefstroom, South Africa; and
Centre of Excellence for Nutrition, North-West University, Potchefstroom, South Africa; and.
Pediatrics. 2021 Mar;147(3). doi: 10.1542/peds.2020-030643.
Sub-Saharan Africa remains the region with the highest under-5 mortality (U5M) rates globally. Emerging evidence revealed that exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) rates are significantly associated with a decreased risk for child mortality. Our aim with this study is to fill the gap of knowledge regarding the economic impact of EBF practices in relation to U5M in sub-Saharan African countries.
Data were gathered from the World Bank's database during the period 2000-2018. A meta-analytical approach was used to evaluate heterogeneity of country estimates and to perform an estimate of the prevalence of EBF and economic cost by country. The association between estimates of U5M and EBF prevalence was estimated and used to perform the total cumulative nonhealth gross domestic product loss (TCNHGDPL) attributable to U5M in 2018 and 2030.
The prevalence of EBF increased by 1%, and U5M reduced significantly by 3.4 per 1000 children each year during 2000-2018. A U5M reduction of 5.6 per 1000 children could be expected if EBF prevalence improved by 10%. The TCNHGDPL in sub-Saharan Africa had a total value higher than $29 billion in 2018. The cost of U5M is estimated to increase to ∼$42 billion in 2030.
If EBF prevalence improve by 10%, the related TCNHGDPL was estimated to be $27 billion in 2018 and $41 billion in 2030, therefore saving ∼$1 billion. Sub-Saharan Africa should imperatively prioritize and invest in essential approaches toward EBF implementation.
撒哈拉以南非洲仍然是全球五岁以下儿童死亡率(U5M)最高的地区。新出现的证据表明,纯母乳喂养(EBF)率与儿童死亡率降低显著相关。我们这项研究的目的是填补关于撒哈拉以南非洲国家 EBF 实践对 U5M 的经济影响的知识空白。
数据来自世界银行数据库,时间范围为 2000-2018 年。采用荟萃分析方法评估国家估计值的异质性,并对每个国家的 EBF 流行率和经济成本进行估计。估计 U5M 与 EBF 流行率之间的关联,并用于计算 2018 年和 2030 年 U5M 导致的非健康国内生产总值总损失(TCNHGDPL)。
2000-2018 年,EBF 流行率每年增加 1%,U5M 每年显著降低 3.4 每千名儿童。如果 EBF 流行率提高 10%,预计 U5M 可降低 5.6 每千名儿童。2018 年,撒哈拉以南非洲的 TCNHGDPL 总价值超过 290 亿美元。预计 2030 年 U5M 的成本将增加到约 420 亿美元。
如果 EBF 流行率提高 10%,则估计 2018 年 TCNHGDPL 为 270 亿美元,2030 年为 410 亿美元,因此节省约 10 亿美元。撒哈拉以南非洲应优先考虑并投资于实施 EBF 的基本方法。