Schectman G, Hoffmann R G
Division of General Internal Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee 53226.
Arch Intern Med. 1988 May;148(5):1169-71.
Elevated plasma cholesterol levels identified during cholesterol screening are often lower when repeated because of the regression to the mean effect. We evaluated the effect of the presence or absence of a history of hypercholesterolemia on the regression to the mean phenomenon. Of 564 volunteers undergoing cholesterol screening, 53 subjects between the ages of 20 and 65 years found to have total plasma cholesterol levels above the 90th percentile for age and sex returned for a second determination. No dietary or behavioral changes occurred during the study. Individuals with a history of hypercholesterolemia showed no change in plasma cholesterol level between the first and second visits; however, a net 13.1% reduction in mean plasma cholesterol level was observed in the group without this history, with 59% of subjects dropping below the 90th percentile level. These findings demonstrate that the regression to the mean effect is confined to those individuals who do not report a history of hyperlipidemia. Subjects with this history are more likely to have their initial cholesterol elevation confirmed when the test is repeated.
由于均值回归效应,胆固醇筛查时检测到的血浆胆固醇水平升高在复查时往往会降低。我们评估了有无高胆固醇血症病史对均值回归现象的影响。在接受胆固醇筛查的564名志愿者中,53名年龄在20至65岁之间、血浆总胆固醇水平高于其年龄和性别的第90百分位数的受试者返回进行第二次检测。研究期间未发生饮食或行为变化。有高胆固醇血症病史的个体在第一次和第二次就诊之间血浆胆固醇水平没有变化;然而,在没有这种病史的组中,平均血浆胆固醇水平净降低了13.1%,59%的受试者降至第90百分位数水平以下。这些发现表明,均值回归效应仅限于那些没有高脂血症病史的个体。有这种病史的受试者在重复检测时,其初始胆固醇升高更有可能得到证实。