College of Pharmacy, Pusan National University, 2, Busandaehak-ro 63 beon-gil, Geumjeong-gu, Busan, 46241, South Korea.
College of Pharmacy, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea.
Appl Health Econ Health Policy. 2021 Jul;19(4):545-555. doi: 10.1007/s40258-021-00640-w. Epub 2021 Mar 2.
To estimate the cost-effectiveness and value of information of cabozantinib compared to nivolumab in advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients, who previously failed treatment from a societal perspective in South Korea.
A partitioned survival model was used to evaluate the incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) of cabozantinib versus nivolumab. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) curves were obtained from a network meta-analysis that included METEOR and CheckMate 025 trial results. Utility values for health states and adverse events were estimated based on the EQ-5D-5L data of METEOR trial with a Korean-specific tariff. Costs were estimated by a micro-costing approach using healthcare claims data and expert consultation. The impact of uncertainties in the model were explored by scenario analyses, and deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) was estimated to assess the value of future research to decrease decision uncertainty.
Compared to nivolumab, cabozantinib was associated with improved OS, PFS, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) at greater cost. The ICUR was $34,445 per QALY. In sensitivity analysis, drug costs had the greatest influence on the ICUR. Cabozantinib had a 68.0% probability of being cost-effective at a threshold of 2 times gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. The population EVPI was $82.6 million at 2 GDP threshold.
Cabozantinib was found to be cost-effective for advanced RCC patients after failure of prior therapy at a 2 GDP threshold. Future research that costs less than the estimated population EVPI would be worth considering for a comparison of cabozantinib and nivolumab.
从韩国社会角度出发,评估卡博替尼对比纳武利尤单抗在既往治疗失败的晚期肾细胞癌(RCC)患者中的成本效果和信息价值。
采用分割生存模型评估卡博替尼对比纳武利尤单抗的增量成本效用比(ICUR)。使用包括 METEOR 和 CheckMate 025 试验结果的网络荟萃分析获得总生存期(OS)和无进展生存期(PFS)曲线。根据 METEOR 试验的 EQ-5D-5L 数据,使用韩国特定的关税,估计健康状态和不良事件的效用值。使用医疗保健索赔数据和专家咨询,通过微观成本法估算成本。通过情景分析、确定性和概率敏感性分析探讨模型不确定性的影响。估计期望完美信息(EVPI)以评估未来研究降低决策不确定性的价值。
与纳武利尤单抗相比,卡博替尼具有更好的 OS、PFS 和质量调整生命年(QALYs),但成本更高。ICUR 为每 QALY 34445 美元。在敏感性分析中,药物成本对 ICUR 的影响最大。卡博替尼在 2 倍人均国内生产总值(GDP)阈值下,有 68.0%的可能性具有成本效益。2 GDP 阈值下的人群 EVPI 为 8260 万美元。
对于二线治疗失败的晚期 RCC 患者,卡博替尼具有成本效果。未来研究的成本低于估计的人群 EVPI,在卡博替尼和纳武利尤单抗的比较中值得考虑。