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[新冠疫情期间京津冀地区空气污染物变化及影响因素分析]

[Analysis of Changes and Factors Influencing Air Pollutants in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region During the COVID-19 Pandemic].

作者信息

Zhao Xue, Shen Nan-Chi, Li Ling-Jun, Wu Gao-Feng, Tao Jing, Zhao Wen-Ji

机构信息

College of Resource Environment and Tourism, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, China.

Beijing Municipal Ecological and Environmental Monitoring Center, Beijing 100048, China.

出版信息

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2021 Mar 8;42(3):1205-1214. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202007249.

Abstract

A series of strict control measures were imposed in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in early 2020 to control the spread of COVID-19. These measures have led to a reduction of anthropogenic air pollutants, providing an opportunity to observe the contribution of human activities to local air pollution. In this study, the control period was divided into four stages:the before, early, middle, and later stages. Based on a variety of data including meteorological, traffic, and industrial manufacturing datasets, statistical methods were combined with spatial analysis to evaluate changes in air pollution and associated human impacts during each stage. In addition, suggestions are made for further regional air pollution control in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei area. Key results are as follows:① Overall, the AQI and the concentrations of six air pollutants, especially SO, PM, and NO, were lower during control period than during the equivalent period in 2019 (reductions of 26.5%, 24.3%, and 16.9%, respectively). From the before to later stages, pollutants (except O) showed a downward trend while O increased significantly during the before stage (by 76.2%) and the growth rate slowed during the middle and later stages; ②During the prior stage, Beijing experienced two periods with heavy air pollution days as a result of the local accumulation of pollutants, secondary transformation, and regional transport. The concentration of PM in February was nearly 60% lower than in February 2014 under similar meteorological conditions in Beijing; ③ Following an increase in traffic volume and industrial activity, changes in air pollutants tended to be stable or slightly increase during the middle and later stages of the control period. The grey relation coefficients between thermal radiation intensity anomalies and the main pollutants in heavy industrial cities were greater than 0.6, which means that the control of industrial emissions remains key to controlling air pollution.

摘要

2020年初,京津冀地区实施了一系列严格的管控措施以控制新冠疫情的传播。这些措施减少了人为空气污染物排放,为观察人类活动对当地空气污染的贡献提供了契机。本研究将管控期分为四个阶段:前期、初期、中期和后期。基于气象、交通和工业制造等各类数据集,结合统计方法与空间分析,评估各阶段空气污染变化及相关人类活动影响。此外,针对京津冀地区未来的区域空气污染管控提出了建议。主要结果如下:①总体而言,管控期内空气质量指数(AQI)及六种空气污染物浓度,尤其是二氧化硫(SO)、颗粒物(PM)和氮氧化物(NO),均低于2019年同期(分别下降26.5%、24.3%和16.9%)。从前期到后期,污染物(除臭氧(O)外)呈下降趋势,而臭氧在前期显著增加(增长76.2%),在中期和后期增速放缓;②前期,受污染物本地累积、二次转化及区域传输影响,北京出现两轮空气污染重污染天。在类似气象条件下,2020年2月北京的PM浓度比2014年2月降低了近60%;③随着交通流量和工业活动增加,管控期中期和后期空气污染物变化趋于稳定或略有上升。重工业城市热辐射强度异常与主要污染物的灰色关联度大于0.6,这意味着控制工业排放仍是控制空气污染的关键。

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