Kerleroux Basile, Tomasino Christophe, Soriano Diogo, Rodrigues Paula G, Moura Fernando Silva, Cottier Jean Philippe, Bibi Richard, Herbreteau Denis, Hak Jean François, Ifergan Héloïse, Janot Kévin, Annan Mariam, Boulouis Grégoire, Narata Ana Paula
Neuroradiology Department, CHRU de Tours, 2 bd Tonnelé, Tours, France; Neuroradiology Department, CH Sainte-Anne, 1 Rue Cabanis, Paris, France.
Neurology CHRU de Tours, 2 bd Tonnelé, Tours, France.
Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2021 Jun;205:106626. doi: 10.1016/j.clineuro.2021.106626. Epub 2021 Apr 1.
A pragmatic tool for the early and reliable prediction of recovery in patients with acute ischemic stroke is needed. We aimed to test the addition of brain eloquent areas involvement in variables predicting poor outcome, using a simple scoring system.
Retrospective study of patients with anterior circulation acute ischemic stroke treated with best medical treatment and/or endovascular reperfusion. Primary outcome measure was 3-months poor outcome (mRs 3-6). We developed a prognostic model based on clinical data and a quantitative scoring system of the main eloquent brain areas involved on early follow-up CT, and analyzed its accuracy to predict poor outcome comparatively to three other prognostic models. The final model was used to develop a score for outcome prediction based on the multivariable analysis.
A total of 197 patients were included (poor outcome = 62; mean age 67 ± 15.1 years; 44% females). Independent predictors of poor outcome were increasing age (p < 0.001), baseline NIHSS (p = 0.03), and the involvement of two brain areas: posterior limb of internal capsule (p < 0.001) and postero-superior corona radiata (p < 0.001). This model showed to be the most accurate to predict poor outcome (Balance Accuracy = 77.74%; C-Statistic = 0.891). The derived risk score attributing points for each of these variables (EASY score) showed similar performances (Balance Accuracy = 82.11%; C-Statistic = 0.90).
The EASY score is an easy-to-apply and accurate tool to predict the 3-months functional outcome after ischemic stroke, relying on simple clinical features and the assessment of two key eloquent brain areas on early follow-up CT.
需要一种实用工具来早期且可靠地预测急性缺血性中风患者的恢复情况。我们旨在使用一种简单的评分系统,测试将脑功能区受累情况纳入预测不良预后的变量中。
对接受最佳药物治疗和/或血管内再灌注治疗的前循环急性缺血性中风患者进行回顾性研究。主要结局指标为3个月时的不良预后(改良Rankin量表评分3 - 6分)。我们基于临床数据和早期随访CT上主要脑功能区的定量评分系统开发了一种预后模型,并与其他三种预后模型比较分析其预测不良预后的准确性。最终模型用于基于多变量分析制定结局预测评分。
共纳入197例患者(不良预后 = 62例;平均年龄67 ± 15.1岁;44%为女性)。不良预后的独立预测因素为年龄增加(p < 0.001)、基线美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分(p = 0.03)以及两个脑区受累:内囊后肢(p < 0.001)和放射冠后上部(p < 0.001)。该模型显示出预测不良预后的准确性最高(平衡准确率 = 77.74%;C统计量 = 0.891)。为这些变量中的每一个赋予分数得出的风险评分(简易评分)表现相似(平衡准确率 = 82.11%;C统计量 = 0.90)。
简易评分是一种易于应用且准确的工具,可依靠简单的临床特征和早期随访CT上两个关键脑功能区的评估来预测缺血性中风后3个月的功能结局。