Research Group Mathematical and Actuarial Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Department of Sociology and Demography, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Age Ageing. 2021 Sep 11;50(5):1633-1640. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afab085.
Mortality doubles approximately every 6-7 years during adulthood. This exponential increase in death risk with chronological age is the population-level manifestation of ageing, and often referred to as the rate-of-ageing.
We explore whether the onset of severe chronic disease alters the rate-of-ageing.
Using Swedish register data covering the entire population of the birth cohorts 1927-30, we analyse whether being diagnosed with myocardial infarction, diabetes or cancer results in a deviation of the rate-of-ageing from those of the total population. We also quantify the long-term mortality effects of these diseases, using ages with equivalent mortality levels for those with disease and the total population.
None of the diseases revealed a sustained effect on the rate-of-ageing. After an initial switch upwards in the level of mortality, the rate-of-ageing returned to the same pace as for the total population. The time it takes for the rate to return depends on the disease. The long-term effects of diabetes and myocardial infarction amount to mortality levels that are equivalent to those aged 5-7 years older in the total population. For cancer, the level of mortality returns to that of the total population.
Our results suggest an underlying process of ageing that causes mortality to increase at a set pace, with every year older we become. This process is not affected by disease history. The persistence of the rate-of-ageing motivates a critical discussion of what role disease prevention can play in altering the progression of ageing.
成年人的死亡率大约每 6-7 年翻一番。这种与年龄相关的死亡风险呈指数级增长是人口老龄化的表现,通常被称为衰老速度。
我们探讨严重慢性疾病的发生是否改变了衰老速度。
使用涵盖了 1927-30 年出生队列整个人口的瑞典登记数据,我们分析了是否被诊断出患有心肌梗死、糖尿病或癌症会导致衰老速度偏离总人口的情况。我们还使用具有相同死亡率的年龄来量化这些疾病的长期死亡率影响,对于那些患有疾病的人和总人口。
没有一种疾病显示出对衰老速度的持续影响。在死亡率最初上升后,衰老速度恢复到与总人口相同的速度。恢复速度所需的时间取决于疾病。糖尿病和心肌梗死的长期影响相当于总人口中年龄大 5-7 岁的死亡率水平。对于癌症,死亡率则回归到总人口水平。
我们的研究结果表明,衰老存在一个潜在的过程,导致死亡率以一定的速度增加,我们每增加一岁,死亡率就会增加。这个过程不受疾病史的影响。衰老速度的持续存在促使人们对疾病预防在改变衰老进程中能发挥的作用进行批判性讨论。