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非洲区域经济共同体的贸易开放与经济增长:来自西非国家经济共同体和南部非洲发展共同体的经验证据

Trade openness and economic growth in Africa's regional economic communities: empirical evidence from ECOWAS and SADC.

作者信息

Oloyede Betsy M, Osabuohien Evans S, Ejemeyovwi Jeremiah O

机构信息

Department of Economics & Development Studies, Covenant University, Ota, Nigeria.

Statistics Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Lagos, Nigeria.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2021 May 14;7(5):e06996. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06996. eCollection 2021 May.

Abstract

In light of increasing globalisation, countries do not just open their economies to trade; some factors have to be influenced. This study analyses the relationship among trade openness and macroeconomic outlook of Africa's regional economic communities (RECs), focusing on the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and Southern African Development Community (SADC). The study applies the Pooled OLS, Fixed and Random Effects techniques of estimation and the Durbin-Wu Hausman test for endogeneity to categorised secondary data from the World Bank's World Development Indicators (WDI) and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) databases. The datasets are classified into three segments for comparative analysis, comprising the total, ECOWAS, and SADC datasets. The results show a positive but insignificant nexus between economic growth rate and trade openness in both the combined simulated ECOWAS and SADC and the individual REC. The results emphasise that the government and other relevant stakeholders should ensure policies are enacted and enforced to transmit the experienced economic growth into substantial trade gains and further trade openness in ECOWAS and SADC.

摘要

鉴于全球化的不断加剧,各国不仅要开放经济以促进贸易,还需对一些因素加以影响。本研究分析了非洲区域经济共同体(RECs)的贸易开放度与宏观经济前景之间的关系,重点关注西非国家经济共同体(ECOWAS)和南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)。该研究运用了混合OLS、固定效应和随机效应估计技术以及内生性的杜宾-吴-豪斯曼检验,对来自世界银行《世界发展指标》(WDI)和联合国贸易和发展会议(UNCTAD)数据库的分类二手数据进行分析。数据集被分为三个部分进行比较分析,包括总体数据集、西非国家经济共同体数据集和南部非洲发展共同体数据集。结果表明,在合并模拟的西非国家经济共同体和南部非洲发展共同体以及各个区域经济共同体中,经济增长率与贸易开放度之间存在正向但不显著的联系。结果强调,政府和其他相关利益攸关方应确保制定并执行政策,以便将经历的经济增长转化为可观的贸易收益,并进一步推动西非国家经济共同体和南部非洲发展共同体的贸易开放。

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