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原发肿瘤侧别对未经治疗的晚期结直肠癌预后和预测的影响。

Prognostic and Predictive Impact of Primary Tumor Sidedness for Previously Untreated Advanced Colorectal Cancer.

机构信息

Division of Clinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.

Department of Medical Oncology, Saint-Antoine Hospital, Paris, France.

出版信息

J Natl Cancer Inst. 2021 Nov 29;113(12):1705-1713. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djab112.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Unplanned subgroup analyses from several studies have suggested primary tumor sidedness (PTS) as a potential prognostic and predictive parameter in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). We aimed to investigate the impact of PTS on outcomes of mCRC patients.

METHODS

PTS data of 9277 mCRC patients from 12 first-line randomized trials in the ARCAD database were pooled. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox models adjusting for age, sex, performance status, prior radiation/chemotherapy, and stratified by treatment arm. Predictive value was tested by interaction term between PTS and treatment (cetuximab plus chemotherapy vs chemotherapy alone). All statistical tests were 2-sided.

RESULTS

Compared with right-sided metastatic colorectal cancer patients (n = 2421, 26.1%), left-sided metastatic colorectal cancer patients (n = 6856, 73.9%) had better OS (median = 21.6 vs 15.9 months; adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj] = 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67 to 0.76; P < .001) and PFS (median = 8.6 vs 7.5 months; HRadj = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.75 to 0.84; P < .001). Interaction between PTS and KRAS mutation was statistically significant (Pinteraction < .001); left-sidedness was associated with better prognosis among KRAS wild-type (WT) (OS HRadj = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.53 to 0.66; PFS HRadj =0.68, 95% CI = 0.61 to 0.75) but not among KRAS mutated tumors. Among KRAS-WT tumors, survival benefit from anti-EGFR was confirmed for left-sidedness (OS HRadj = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.75 to 0.97; P = .01; PFS HRadj = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.67 to 0.88; P < .001) but not for right-sidedness.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic value of PTS is restricted to the KRAS-WT population. PTS is predictive of anti-EGFR efficacy, with a statistically significant improvement of survival for left-sidedness mCRC patients. These results suggest treatment choice in mCRC should be based on both PTS and KRAS status.

摘要

背景

几项研究的非计划性亚组分析表明,原发肿瘤侧别(PTS)可能是转移性结直肠癌(mCRC)的预后和预测因素。我们旨在研究 PTS 对 mCRC 患者结局的影响。

方法

汇总了 ARCAD 数据库中 12 项一线随机试验中 9277 例 mCRC 患者的 PTS 数据。使用 Kaplan-Meier 和 Cox 模型评估总生存期(OS)和无进展生存期(PFS),并调整了年龄、性别、表现状态、既往放疗/化疗以及治疗臂分层因素。通过 PTS 与治疗(西妥昔单抗联合化疗与单纯化疗)之间的交互项检验预测价值。所有统计检验均为双侧。

结果

与右侧转移性结直肠癌患者(n=2421,26.1%)相比,左侧转移性结直肠癌患者(n=6856,73.9%)的 OS 更好(中位=21.6 与 15.9 个月;调整后的 HRadj=0.71,95%CI=0.67 至 0.76;P<0.001)和 PFS 更长(中位=8.6 与 7.5 个月;HRadj=0.80,95%CI=0.75 至 0.84;P<0.001)。PTS 与 KRAS 突变之间的交互作用具有统计学意义(Pinteraction<0.001);左侧与 KRAS 野生型(WT)(OS HRadj=0.59,95%CI=0.53 至 0.66;PFS HRadj=0.68,95%CI=0.61 至 0.75)的预后较好,但与 KRAS 突变肿瘤无关。在 KRAS-WT 肿瘤中,左侧肿瘤的抗 EGFR 治疗具有生存获益(OS HRadj=0.85,95%CI=0.75 至 0.97;P=0.01;PFS HRadj=0.77,95%CI=0.67 至 0.88;P<0.001),而右侧肿瘤则没有。

结论

PTS 的预后价值仅限于 KRAS-WT 人群。PTS 可预测抗 EGFR 疗效,左侧转移性结直肠癌患者的生存明显改善。这些结果表明,mCRC 的治疗选择应基于 PTS 和 KRAS 状态。

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