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加纳的生育模式和计划生育接受率:一项生态学研究。

Patterns of Birth and Family Planning Acceptor Rates in Ghana: An Ecological Study.

机构信息

Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana.

Essikado Hospital, Takoradi, Ghana.

出版信息

Afr J Reprod Health. 2020 Jun;24(2):64-69. doi: 10.29063/ajrh2020/v24i2.6.

Abstract

Despite a reported decline in Ghana's birth rate (BR), the pattern of ecological percent decrease in BR as corresponding to the percent increase in family planning acceptor rate (FPAR) in Ghana is not clear. This study explicitly explored and compared the pattern of birth and FPAR in Ghana from 2004-2015. National FPAR and BR data were retrieved from Ghana Health Service and World Bank. A time- trend descriptive analysis was performed via tableau software. Additionally, a segmented regression was applied to inferentially identify where statistically significant log-linear distinct segments exist in the trends. All segmented-related analysis was performed using joinpoint trend analysis software. Whereas, the highest decline in BR was observed from 2013-2015 (-1.4%), the highest increase in FPAR was rather observed from 2004-2008 (7.4%). Unexpectedly, from 2008-2013, a much higher decrease in FPAR (-5.8%) also yielded a moderate decline in BR (-0.7%). FPAR over the eleven years (2004-2015) increased by 1.1% whereas BR declined by -0.7%. BR in Ghana continues to be on a moderate declining trend. However, the decline was uninterrupted by an increase or decrease in FPAR. For a further decrease in Ghana's birth rate, a multifaceted approach is needed, not only focusing on increasing FPAR but also targeting adherence to FP control methods.

摘要

尽管加纳的出生率(BR)有所下降,但加纳 BR 与计划生育接受率(FPAR)的百分比变化模式尚不清楚。本研究明确探讨和比较了 2004-2015 年加纳的出生率和 FPAR 模式。国家 FPAR 和 BR 数据从加纳卫生局和世界银行检索。通过 tableau 软件进行时间趋势描述性分析。此外,还应用分段回归推断性地确定趋势中存在统计学上显著的对数线性明显段的位置。所有分段相关的分析均使用 joinpoint 趋势分析软件进行。虽然 BR 的最高降幅出现在 2013-2015 年(-1.4%),但 FPAR 的最高增幅出现在 2004-2008 年(7.4%)。出乎意料的是,2008-2013 年,FPAR 的降幅更大(-5.8%),导致 BR 适度下降(-0.7%)。十一年(2004-2015 年)来,FPAR 增长了 1.1%,而 BR 下降了 0.7%。加纳的 BR 继续呈温和下降趋势。然而,BR 的下降并没有被 FPAR 的增减所打断。为了进一步降低加纳的出生率,需要采取多方面的方法,不仅要关注提高 FPAR,还要关注对 FP 控制方法的坚持。

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