Steponavičienė Laura, Vansevičiūtė Rasa, Zabulienė Lina, Jasilionis Domantas, Urbonas Vincas, Smailytė Giedrė
Laboratory of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Institute, Vilnius, Lithuania Department of Consulting Clinic, National Cancer Institute, Vilnius, Lithuania.
Department of Consulting Clinic, National Cancer Institute, Vilnius, Lithuania Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, Vilnius, Lithuania.
Acta Med Litu. 2020;27(2):70-75. doi: 10.15388/Amed.2020.27.2.4. Epub 2020 Dec 21.
Although the relationship between reproductive factors and breast cancer is internationally proved, reliable data on former USSR countries are scarce. This study examines the association of parity, age at the first childbirth, number of children, and breast cancer risk in Lithuanian women.
The study that included women from 40 to 79 years old was based on a dataset that was made up linking all records from the 2001 census, all cancer incidence records from the Lithuanian Cancer Registry and all death records from Statistics Lithuania between 6th April 2001 and 31st December 2009. Cox's proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) for parity, age at the first childbirth, and number of children.
If compared to nulliparous women, parous women had a lower risk of breast cancer (HR=0.84, 95% CI 0.78-0.89) and this risk further decreased with an increasing number of children. Women who gave birth after the age of 25 had a significantly higher risk of breast cancer. This disadvantage became statistically insignificant or decreased after controlling for total number of children.
Parity and age at the first childbirth are strong predictors of breast cancer risk among Lithu-anian women.
摘要 背景:尽管生殖因素与乳腺癌之间的关系已在国际上得到证实,但前苏联国家的可靠数据却很稀少。本研究调查了立陶宛女性的生育胎次、首次生育年龄、子女数量与乳腺癌风险之间的关联。
该研究纳入了40至79岁的女性,基于一个数据集,该数据集由2001年人口普查的所有记录、立陶宛癌症登记处的所有癌症发病记录以及立陶宛统计局2001年4月6日至2009年12月31日期间的所有死亡记录链接而成。采用Cox比例风险回归模型来估计生育胎次、首次生育年龄和子女数量的风险比(HR)。
与未生育女性相比,已生育女性患乳腺癌的风险较低(HR = 0.84,95% CI 0.78 - 0.89),且这种风险随着子女数量的增加而进一步降低。25岁以后生育的女性患乳腺癌的风险显著更高。在控制子女总数后,这种劣势在统计学上变得不显著或有所降低。
生育胎次和首次生育年龄是立陶宛女性乳腺癌风险的有力预测因素。