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接受腹部急诊手术的老年患者术后全因死亡率:查尔森合并症指数的作用

Post-Operative All-Cause Mortality in Elderly Patients Undergoing Abdominal Emergency Surgery: Role of Charlson Comorbidity Index.

作者信息

Fabbian Fabio, De Giorgi Alfredo, Ferro Silvia, Lacavalla Domenico, Andreotti Dario, Ascanelli Simona, Volpato Stefano, Occhionorelli Savino

机构信息

Department of Medical Sciences, University of Ferrara, 44121 Ferrara, Italy.

Department of Internal Medicine, St. Anna University Hospital, 44124 Ferrara, Italy.

出版信息

Healthcare (Basel). 2021 Jun 26;9(7):805. doi: 10.3390/healthcare9070805.

Abstract

(1) Background: The Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score has been shown to predict 10-year all-cause mortality, but its validity is a matter of debate in surgical patients. We wanted to evaluate CCI on predicting all-cause mortality in elderly patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery (EAS); (2) Methods: This retrospective single center study included all patients aged 65 years or older consecutively admitted from January 2017 to December 2019, who underwent EAS and were discharged alive. CCI was calculated by using of the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Our outcome was all-cause death recorded during the 20.8 ± 8.8 month follow-up; (3) Results: We evaluated 197 patients aged 78.4 ± 7.2 years of whom 47 (23.8%) died. Mortality was higher in patients who underwent open abdominal surgery than in those treated with laparoscopic procedure (74% vs. 26%, < 0.001), and in those who needed colon, small bowel, and gastric surgery. Mean CCI was 4.98 ± 2.2, and in subjects with CCI ≥ 4 survival was lower. Cox regression analysis showed that CCI (HR 1.132, 95% CI 1.009-1.270, = 0.035), and open surgery (HR 10.298, 95%CI 1.409-75.285, = 0.022) were associated with all-cause death independently from age and sex; (4) Conclusions: Calculation of CCI, could help surgeons in the preoperative stratification of risk of death after discharge in subjects aged ≥65 years who need EAS. CCI ≥ 4, increases the risk of all-causes mortality independently from age.

摘要

(1) 背景:查尔森合并症指数(CCI)评分已被证明可预测10年全因死亡率,但其在外科手术患者中的有效性存在争议。我们旨在评估CCI对接受急诊腹部手术(EAS)的老年患者全因死亡率的预测价值;(2) 方法:这项回顾性单中心研究纳入了2017年1月至2019年12月期间连续收治的所有65岁及以上接受EAS且出院时存活的患者。使用国际疾病分类第九版临床修订本编码计算CCI。我们的观察终点是在20.8±8.8个月的随访期间记录的全因死亡;(3) 结果:我们评估了197例年龄为78.4±7.2岁的患者,其中47例(23.8%)死亡。接受开腹手术的患者死亡率高于接受腹腔镜手术的患者(74%对26%,<0.001),以及需要进行结肠、小肠和胃部手术的患者。平均CCI为4.98±2.2,CCI≥4的患者生存率较低。Cox回归分析显示,CCI(风险比1.132,95%置信区间1.009 - 1.270,P = 0.035)和开腹手术(风险比10.298,95%置信区间1.409 - 75.285,P = 0.022)与全因死亡独立相关,不受年龄和性别的影响;(4) 结论:计算CCI有助于外科医生对≥65岁需要EAS的患者出院后死亡风险进行术前分层。CCI≥4独立于年龄增加全因死亡风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a38e/8306074/6c3a81787141/healthcare-09-00805-g001.jpg

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