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中国兰州地区环境温度与特应性皮炎相关性的时间序列分析。

Association between ambient temperature and atopic dermatitis in Lanzhou, China: a time series analysis.

机构信息

The First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.

Department of Dermatology, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(47):67487-67495. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15198-2. Epub 2021 Jul 12.

Abstract

Many studies have explored the association between temperature and atopic dermatitis (AD); however, the results are inconsistent. We used a quasi-Poisson function fitted to a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) to evaluate the association between daily average temperature and AD outpatient visits from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2019, in Lanzhou, China. We found that the exposure-response association curve was inversely "s-shaped," low-temperature effects occurred at a lag of 11 days and then lasted for 10 days, and high-temperature effects occurred on the current day and then significantly decreased. Both low and high ambient temperatures can increase the risk of outpatient visits. Compared with median temperature (12.89°C), the cumulative relative risk (RR) of extreme high temperature and moderate-high temperature were 1.847 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.613, 2.114) and 1.447 (95% CI: 1.298, 1.614), respectively, at lag0-7 days, and the cumulative RRs of extremely low temperature and moderate-low temperature were 1.004 (95% CI: 0.904, 1.115) and 1.056 (95% CI: 0.925, 1.205), respectively, at lag0-21 days. Females were more sensitive to high temperatures than males, and high or low temperatures had significant effects on children ≤14 years of age. Graphical abstract.

摘要

许多研究都探讨了温度与特应性皮炎(AD)之间的关系,但结果并不一致。我们使用拟泊松函数拟合分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来评估 2013 年 1 月 1 日至 2019 年 12 月 31 日期间中国兰州每日平均温度与 AD 门诊就诊次数之间的关系。我们发现,暴露-反应关联曲线呈反向“s 形”,低温效应滞后 11 天,持续 10 天,高温效应发生在当天,然后显著下降。低温和高温都会增加门诊就诊的风险。与中位数温度(12.89°C)相比,极端高温和中高温的累积相对风险(RR)分别为 1.847(95%置信区间[CI]:1.613,2.114)和 1.447(95% CI:1.298,1.614),在滞后 0-7 天,极端低温和中低温的累积 RR 分别为 1.004(95% CI:0.904,1.115)和 1.056(95% CI:0.925,1.205),在滞后 0-21 天。女性对高温比男性更敏感,高温或低温对≤14 岁的儿童有显著影响。

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