Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Lancet. 2021 Aug 14;398(10300):599-607. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00896-5. Epub 2021 Jul 29.
BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is a complex disease targeting many organs. Previous studies highlight COVID-19 as a probable risk factor for acute cardiovascular complications. We aimed to quantify the risk of acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke associated with COVID-19 by analysing all COVID-19 cases in Sweden. METHODS: This self-controlled case series (SCCS) and matched cohort study was done in Sweden. The personal identification numbers of all patients with COVID-19 in Sweden from Feb 1 to Sept 14, 2020, were identified and cross-linked with national inpatient, outpatient, cancer, and cause of death registers. The controls were matched on age, sex, and county of residence in Sweden. International Classification of Diseases codes for acute myocardial infarction or ischaemic stroke were identified in causes of hospital admission for all patients with COVID-19 in the SCCS and all patients with COVID-19 and the matched control individuals in the matched cohort study. The SCCS method was used to calculate the incidence rate ratio (IRR) for first acute myocardial infarction or ischaemic stroke following COVID-19 compared with a control period. The matched cohort study was used to determine the increased risk that COVID-19 confers compared with the background population of increased acute myocardial infarction or ischaemic stroke in the first 2 weeks following COVID-19. FINDINGS: 86 742 patients with COVID-19 were included in the SCCS study, and 348 481 matched control individuals were also included in the matched cohort study. When day of exposure was excluded from the risk period in the SCCS, the IRR for acute myocardial infarction was 2·89 (95% CI 1·51-5·55) for the first week, 2·53 (1·29-4·94) for the second week, and 1·60 (0·84-3·04) in weeks 3 and 4 following COVID-19. When day of exposure was included in the risk period, IRR was 8·44 (5·45-13·08) for the first week, 2·56 (1·31-5·01) for the second week, and 1·62 (0·85-3·09) for weeks 3 and 4 following COVID-19. The corresponding IRRs for ischaemic stroke when day of exposure was excluded from the risk period were 2·97 (1·71-5·15) in the first week, 2·80 (1·60-4·88) in the second week, and 2·10 (1·33-3·32) in weeks 3 and 4 following COVID-19; when day of exposure was included in the risk period, the IRRs were 6·18 (4·06-9·42) for the first week, 2·85 (1·64-4·97) for the second week, and 2·14 (1·36-3·38) for weeks 3 and 4 following COVID-19. In the matched cohort analysis excluding day 0, the odds ratio (OR) for acute myocardial infarction was 3·41 (1·58-7·36) and for stroke was 3·63 (1·69-7·80) in the 2 weeks following COVID-19. When day 0 was included in the matched cohort study, the OR for acute myocardial infarction was 6·61 (3·56-12·20) and for ischaemic stroke was 6·74 (3·71-12·20) in the 2 weeks following COVID-19. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that COVID-19 is a risk factor for acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke. This indicates that acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke represent a part of the clinical picture of COVID-19, and highlights the need for vaccination against COVID-19. FUNDING: Central ALF-funding and Base Unit ALF-Funding, Region Västerbotten, Sweden; Strategic funding during 2020 from the Department of Clinical Microbiology, Umeå University, Sweden; Stroke Research in Northern Sweden; The Laboratory for Molecular Infection Medicine Sweden.
背景:COVID-19 是一种针对多种器官的复杂疾病。先前的研究强调 COVID-19 可能是急性心血管并发症的一个危险因素。我们旨在通过分析瑞典所有 COVID-19 病例,量化 COVID-19 与急性心肌梗死和缺血性卒中的相关性。
方法:这是一项在瑞典进行的自我对照病例系列(SCCS)和匹配队列研究。从 2020 年 2 月 1 日至 9 月 14 日,确定了瑞典所有 COVID-19 患者的个人身份号码,并与国家住院、门诊、癌症和死因登记处进行了交叉链接。对照组按照瑞典的年龄、性别和居住地进行匹配。在 SCCS 中,所有 COVID-19 患者的住院原因中都确定了急性心肌梗死或缺血性卒中的国际疾病分类代码,在匹配队列研究中,所有 COVID-19 患者和匹配的对照个体也确定了这些代码。使用 SCCS 方法计算 COVID-19 后与对照期相比首次急性心肌梗死或缺血性卒中的发病率比值(IRR)。匹配队列研究用于确定 COVID-19 后 2 周内与背景人群相比,COVID-19 患者发生急性心肌梗死或缺血性卒中的风险增加。
结果:在 SCCS 研究中纳入了 86742 例 COVID-19 患者,在匹配队列研究中还纳入了 348481 例匹配的对照个体。当排除风险期内的暴露日时,第一周急性心肌梗死的 IRR 为 2.89(95%CI 1.51-5.55),第二周为 2.53(1.29-4.94),第三和第四周为 1.60(0.84-3.04)。当包括暴露日时,第一周的 IRR 为 8.44(5.45-13.08),第二周为 2.56(1.31-5.01),第三和第四周为 1.62(0.85-3.09)。当排除风险期内的暴露日时,缺血性卒中的相应 IRR 为第一周 2.97(1.71-5.15),第二周 2.80(1.60-4.88),第三和第四周 2.10(1.33-3.32);当包括暴露日时,IRR 为第一周 6.18(4.06-9.42),第二周 2.85(1.64-4.97),第三和第四周 2.14(1.36-3.38)。在排除第 0 天的匹配队列分析中,急性心肌梗死的比值比(OR)为 3.41(1.58-7.36),卒中的 OR 为 3.63(1.69-7.80),在 COVID-19 后 2 周内。当包括第 0 天的病例时,急性心肌梗死的 OR 为 6.61(3.56-12.20),缺血性卒中的 OR 为 6.74(3.71-12.20),在 COVID-19 后 2 周内。
解释:我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19 是急性心肌梗死和缺血性卒中的危险因素。这表明急性心肌梗死和缺血性卒中是 COVID-19 临床特征的一部分,并强调了 COVID-19 疫苗接种的必要性。
资金:中央 ALF 基金和地区韦斯特博滕 ALF 基金,瑞典;瑞典乌默奥大学临床微生物学系 2020 年战略基金;北瑞典卒中研究;瑞典分子传染病实验室。
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