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改善农场水坝水质可提高牲畜体重增长:成本效益分析。

Increased livestock weight gain from improved water quality in farm dams: A cost-benefit analysis.

机构信息

Sustainable Farms, College of Business and Economics, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.

Sustainable Farms, Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Aug 16;16(8):e0256089. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256089. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Access to water is a critical aspect of livestock production, although the relationship between livestock weight gain and water quality remains poorly understood. Previous work has shown that water quality of poorly managed farm dams can be improved by fencing and constructing hardened watering points to limit stock access to the dam, and revegetation to filter contaminant inflow. Here we use cattle weight gain data from three North American studies to develop a cost-benefit analysis for the renovation of farm dams to improve water quality and, in turn, promote cattle weight gain on farms in south-eastern Australia. Our analysis indicated a strong likelihood of positive results and suggested there may be substantial net economic benefit from renovating dams in poor condition to improve water quality. The average per-farm Benefit-Cost Ratios based on deterministic assumptions was 1.5 for New South Wales (NSW) and 3.0 for Victoria in areas where rainfall exceeds 600mm annually. Our analyses suggested that cattle on farms in NSW and Victoria would need to experience additional weight gain from switching to clean water of at least 6.5% and 1.8% per annum respectively, to break even in present value terms. Monte Carlo simulation based on conservative assumptions indicated that the probability of per-farm benefits exceeding costs was greater than 70%. We recommend localised experiments to assess the impact of improved water quality on livestock weight gain in Australian conditions to confirm these expectations empirically.

摘要

水的供应是畜牧业生产的一个关键方面,尽管家畜体重增加与水质之间的关系仍未得到充分理解。以前的研究表明,通过围栏和建造硬化的饮水点来限制牲畜进入池塘、重新造林以过滤污染物的流入,可以改善管理不善的农场池塘的水质。在这里,我们使用来自三个北美的研究的数据来进行成本效益分析,以改善农场池塘的水质,从而促进澳大利亚东南部农场的牛只体重增加。我们的分析表明,结果很有可能是积极的,并且从改善水质的角度来看,对条件较差的池塘进行翻新可能会带来可观的净经济效益。基于确定性假设,每农场的效益-成本比在新南威尔士州(NSW)为 1.5,在维多利亚州(Victoria)为 3.0,在每年降雨量超过 600 毫米的地区。我们的分析表明,新南威尔士州和维多利亚州的农场中的牛只需要通过切换到清洁水来获得至少每年 6.5%和 1.8%的额外体重增加,才能在现值方面收支相抵。基于保守假设的蒙特卡罗模拟表明,每农场受益超过成本的概率大于 70%。我们建议进行本地化实验,以评估改善水质对澳大利亚牲畜体重增加的影响,从而从经验上验证这些预期。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/11ab/8366965/a846347f3534/pone.0256089.g001.jpg

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