Nomogram to predict overall survival of patients with pseudomyxoma peritonei of appendiceal origin: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND

Pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) is a rare disease, with the rate of overall survival (OS) influenced by many factors. The present study aimed to define independent predictors and establish a nomogram for individual risk prediction in PMP patients.

METHODS

One hundred forty-seven PMP patients were consecutively included between June 1, 2013, and November 22, 2019. The log-rank test was used to compare the OS rate between groups; subsequently, variables with p < .10 were subjected to multivariate Cox modeling for defining independent prediction indicators. Finally, a nomogram was established based on independent prognosticators and assessed for internal validation.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox analysis showed that D-dimer level, carbohydrate antigen (CA) 125 level, CA 19-9 level, degree of radical surgery, and histological grade were all independently associated with OS in PMP patients. A nomogram was plotted and underwent internal validation. The discrimination ability of the nomogram revealed a good predictive ability as indicated by the C-index value (0.825), and calibration plots confirmed good consistency between the predicted and observed survival probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Five independent prognostic factors for predicting the survival of PMP patients were identified, and the nomogram based on these independent indicators showed a reasonable discrimination ability for individual risk prediction.