Department of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Danish Cancer Society Research Center, Danish Cancer Society, Copenhagen, Denmark.
PLoS One. 2021 Dec 22;16(12):e0261665. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0261665. eCollection 2021.
The risk of infectious mononucleosis (IM) is affected both by crowding and by sibship structure, i.e., number and signed age differential between an index child and a sibling. Siblings provide protection against IM by pre-empting delayed primary Epstein-Barr virus infection with its associated high risk of IM. The association between childcare attendance and risk of IM, on the other hand, has never been studied in a large, well-characterized cohort.
Danish children born in July 1992 through 2016 with a completely known simple childcare attendance history before age 1.5 years (n = 908,866) were followed up for a hospital contact with an IM diagnosis at ages 1.5-26 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) of IM for an additional year of exposure were obtained from stratified Cox regression analyses, stratified by sex and year of birth, with age as the underlying time scale, adjusted for sibship structure, and sociodemographic variables including parental ethnicity and maternal age.
An additional year of exclusively attending a daycare home (max 5 children) yielded HR = 0.90 (95% confidence interval 0.81-1.00), and similarly, each year of exclusively attending a childcare institution (e.g., crèche) yielded HR = 0.94 (0.84-1.06).
Forwarding enrollment in childcare by a year lowers the risk of IM later in life much less than having an additional sibling of comparable age and has no practical public health implications. We find our results suggestive of a random threshold for successful Epstein-Barr virus infection that is more easily reached by a sibling than the collective of playmates in daycare homes or childcare institutions.
传染性单核细胞增多症(IM)的风险受到拥挤程度和同胞结构的影响,即指数儿童和兄弟姐妹之间的数量和签名年龄差异。兄弟姐妹通过抢先感染 Epstein-Barr 病毒的延迟原发性感染及其相关的 IM 高风险来提供对 IM 的保护。另一方面,在一个大型、特征明确的队列中,从未研究过儿童保育参与与 IM 风险之间的关系。
1992 年 7 月至 2016 年期间在丹麦出生的儿童,如果在 1.5 岁之前完全了解简单的儿童保育参与史(n = 908866),则在 1.5-26 岁时会因 IM 诊断而住院。从分层 Cox 回归分析中获得了每增加一年暴露的 IM 的风险比(HR),分层为性别和出生年份,年龄为基础时间尺度,调整了同胞结构和社会人口学变量,包括父母的种族和母亲年龄。
额外一年仅在日托之家(最多 5 个孩子)就读的 HR = 0.90(95%置信区间 0.81-1.00),同样,每年仅在儿童保育机构(如托儿所)就读的 HR = 0.94(0.84-1.06)。
将入托时间提前一年会降低以后生活中患 IM 的风险,但程度远低于增加一个年龄相近的兄弟姐妹,因此没有实际的公共卫生意义。我们的结果表明,成功感染 Epstein-Barr 病毒存在一个随机阈值,这个阈值对于兄弟姐妹来说更容易达到,而不是在日托之家或儿童保育机构中与玩伴的集体接触更容易达到。