Department of Government, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
J Homosex. 2023 Apr 16;70(5):851-875. doi: 10.1080/00918369.2021.2004795. Epub 2022 Jan 12.
This study examines differential stability in attitudes toward homosexuality using panel data representative of the American adult population. While attitudes toward homosexuality have shifted considerably on the aggregate-level over the past few decades, this study shows that such attitudes are remarkably stable on the individual-level. Employing conditional change models, this study also provides a test of the aging-stability hypothesis with regard to attitudes toward homosexuality. That hypothesis is confirmed, as attitude stability is found to gradually increase with age. However, no other socio-demographic variables are found to have a consistent relationship with stability. The finding of an age-graded increase in stability suggests that attitudes toward homosexuality are formed predominantly early in life and that susceptibility to attitude change declines across the adult lifespan. This finding also supports a generational replacement explanation of recent changes in American public opinion on homosexuality as aging-stability translates into cohort effects on the aggregate-level.
本研究使用具有代表性的美国成年人口的面板数据,考察了对同性恋态度的差异稳定性。尽管过去几十年来,对同性恋的态度在总体水平上发生了相当大的变化,但本研究表明,这种态度在个体水平上非常稳定。本研究还通过条件变化模型,对同性恋态度的老龄化稳定性假设进行了检验。该假设得到了证实,因为发现态度稳定性随着年龄的增长而逐渐增加。然而,没有其他社会人口变量与稳定性有一致的关系。稳定性呈年龄递增的发现表明,对同性恋的态度主要是在生命早期形成的,并且随着成年期的推移,态度改变的易感性会下降。这一发现也支持了最近美国公众对同性恋态度变化的代际更替解释,因为老龄化稳定性转化为总体水平上的队列效应。