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儿童 firearm 暴力的隐藏死亡率。

The hidden mortality of pediatric firearm violence.

机构信息

Department of Surgery, UC Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA, USA.

Department of Surgery, UC Davis Medical Center, Sacramento, CA, USA.

出版信息

J Pediatr Surg. 2022 May;57(5):897-902. doi: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2021.12.031. Epub 2022 Jan 10.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Firearms and motor vehicle collisions (MVC) are leading causes of mortality in children. We hypothesized that firearm injuries would have a higher mortality than MVCs in children and a higher level of resource utilization METHODS: Trauma patients <18 years old at a Level 1 pediatric trauma center sustaining gunshot wounds (GSW) or MVCs 2009-2019 were included. The primary outcome was mortality. The secondary outcome was immediate surgery. The California Department of Public Health's Overall Injury Surveillance tool was queried for patients <18 with GSW or MVC 2006-2015 to compare statewide case fatality rates (CFRs), and analyze proportions of GSWs by intent: assault, self-inflicted, and unintentional.

RESULTS

Of 13,840 pediatric trauma patients at our institution, 295 GSWs (2.1%) and 4467 MVCs (32.3%) were included. Mortality was higher for GSWs (7.5% vs. 0.8%, p<0.0001). GSW patients were more likely to require immediate surgery (34.4% vs. 11.2%, p<0.0001). On multivariable analysis, GSW patients were 7.8-times more likely to die than MVC patients (OR 7.83, 95% CI 3.68-16.66, p<0.0001), adjusted for age, sex, and injury severity. Statewide, there were 10,790 pediatric GSWs with 1586 deaths (CFR 14.7%) vs. 710 deaths in 261,363 children in MVCs (CFR 0.3%, p<0.0001). The GSW CFR rose (13.4% to 16.5%, p = 0.05) while the MVC CFR decreased (0.5% to 0.2%, p<0.0001) in 2015 vs. 2006.

CONCLUSION

Firearm violence in pediatric patients is significantly more lethal than MVCs and is resource intensive. The case fatality rate for pediatric firearm violence is rising. Resources must be directed at preventing pediatric firearm injuries.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognosis study, Level II.

摘要

介绍

枪支和机动车碰撞(MVC)是儿童死亡的主要原因。我们假设枪支伤害在儿童中的死亡率将高于 MVC,并具有更高的资源利用水平。

方法

纳入了在 1 级儿科创伤中心就诊的 18 岁以下因枪击伤(GSW)或 MVC 的创伤患者。主要结局是死亡率。次要结局是立即手术。通过查询加利福尼亚州公共卫生部的整体伤害监测工具,获取了 2006 年至 2015 年期间 18 岁以下的 GSW 或 MVC 患者的病例,以比较全州的病死率(CFR),并分析意图为:攻击、自残和非故意的 GSW 比例。

结果

在我们的机构中,有 13840 名儿科创伤患者,其中 295 例 GSW(2.1%)和 4467 例 MVC(32.3%)被纳入研究。GSW 的死亡率更高(7.5%比 0.8%,p<0.0001)。GSW 患者更有可能需要立即手术(34.4%比 11.2%,p<0.0001)。多变量分析显示,GSW 患者死亡的可能性是 MVC 患者的 7.8 倍(OR 7.83,95%CI 3.68-16.66,p<0.0001),调整了年龄、性别和损伤严重程度。全州范围内,有 10790 例儿科 GSW 患者中有 1586 例死亡(CFR 14.7%),而 261363 例 MVC 患者中有 710 例死亡(CFR 0.3%,p<0.0001)。2015 年与 2006 年相比,GSW 的 CFR 上升(从 13.4%上升至 16.5%,p=0.05),而 MVC 的 CFR 下降(从 0.5%下降至 0.2%,p<0.0001)。

结论

儿科患者的枪支暴力明显比 MVC 更致命,而且资源密集度更高。儿科枪支暴力的病死率正在上升。必须将资源用于预防儿科枪支伤害。

证据水平

预后研究,II 级。

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