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韩国仁川省 2004 年至 2013 年甲状腺癌发病率趋势:仁川癌症登记处的代表性样本研究。

Trends in the incidence of thyroid cancer in Incheon Province, South Korea, from 2004 to 2013: A representative sample study from Incheon cancer registry.

机构信息

Department of Radiation Oncology, Inha University Hospital, Inha University School of Medicine, Incheon, South Korea.

Incheon Cancer Registry, Incheon, South Korea.

出版信息

Asia Pac J Clin Oncol. 2022 Oct;18(5):e398-e403. doi: 10.1111/ajco.13733. Epub 2022 Jan 30.


DOI:10.1111/ajco.13733
PMID:35098678
Abstract

AIM: This study aimed to assess the trends in the incidence of thyroid cancer in Incheon Province, South Korea, from 2004 to 2013 and to identify its association with thyroid cancer screening. METHODS: We evaluated randomly sampled data of 10% of thyroid cancer patients collected between 2004 and 2013 from the Incheon Cancer Registry, Incheon, South Korea. The expected annual incidence rates of thyroid cancer from 2004 to 2013 were calculated, and the trends in annual incidence change were assessed using a Poisson regression model. In addition, the annual proportion change in the thyroid cancer population according to the detection method and tumor size was also calculated by evaluating the linear-by-linear association. RESULTS: The average expected prevalence of thyroid cancer was 30 per 100,000 individuals from 2004 to 2013. The expected annual incidence of thyroid cancer per 100,000 individuals increased from 7 in 2004 to 49 in 2013, with an annual 1.25-fold difference (p < 0.001). Screening helped improve the detection of thyroid cancer annually, with the proportion increasing by screening detection (p < 0.001). Majority (54%) of the tumors were small (< 10 mm) and their detection rate increased from 2004 to 2013 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of thyroid cancer has increased from 2004 to 2013 in Incheon Province, South Korea, with the increase being most significant for small tumors. These findings indicate that the increased incidence is primarily due to the widespread use of screening and not an actual increase in clinically significant thyroid cancer.

摘要

目的:本研究旨在评估 2004 年至 2013 年韩国仁川地区甲状腺癌的发病率趋势,并确定其与甲状腺癌筛查的关系。

方法:我们评估了韩国仁川癌症登记处 2004 年至 2013 年间随机抽取的 10%甲状腺癌患者的数据。计算了 2004 年至 2013 年甲状腺癌的预期年发病率,并使用泊松回归模型评估了年度发病率变化趋势。此外,通过评估线性线性关联,还计算了根据检测方法和肿瘤大小的甲状腺癌人群的年比例变化。

结果:2004 年至 2013 年,甲状腺癌的平均预期患病率为每 100,000 人 30 例。每 100,000 人甲状腺癌的预期年发病率从 2004 年的 7 例增加到 2013 年的 49 例,年增长率为 1.25 倍(p < 0.001)。筛查有助于每年提高甲状腺癌的检出率,通过筛查检测的比例增加(p < 0.001)。大多数(54%)肿瘤较小(< 10 毫米),其检出率从 2004 年到 2013 年有所增加(p < 0.001)。

结论:2004 年至 2013 年,韩国仁川地区甲状腺癌的发病率有所增加,其中小肿瘤的增加最为显著。这些发现表明,发病率的增加主要是由于广泛使用筛查,而不是临床上有意义的甲状腺癌的实际增加。

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Trends in the incidence of thyroid cancer in Incheon Province, South Korea, from 2004 to 2013: A representative sample study from Incheon cancer registry.

Asia Pac J Clin Oncol. 2022-10

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[5]
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