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影响奶牛配种至受胎间隔(开放天数)的因素,埃塞俄比亚德西和孔博恰塔镇。

Factors affecting calving to conception interval (days open) in dairy cows located at Dessie and Kombolcha towns, Ethiopia.

机构信息

School of Veterinary Medicine, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia.

Pinnacle Private Limited, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Feb 17;17(2):e0264029. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0264029. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

This study was aimed at determining the median days of calving to conception interval (days open) and identifying the major risk factors determining the days open in dairy cows. Both retrospective and longitudinal studies were conducted on dairy cows located in the Dessie and Kombolcha towns of South Wollo Zone, northeast Ethiopia from August 2019 to August 2020. The Kaplan-Meier model of survival analysis was used to determine the median days open and compare the survival distribution of each level of explanatory variables likely to influence the days open of dairy cows. Accordingly, the overall conception rate of dairy cows was 44.7%. The median days open in the study was 154 days. There is a 16% probability of surviving (i.e, the probability that the conception event has not yet occurred) at the end of 210 days postpartum period. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to quantify the effect of each of the explanatory variables on the days open in the first 210 days postpartum. Factors that had a significant effect (p<0.05) on the calving to conception interval were the season of insemination, breeding system, calving to insemination interval, and herd milk yield level. However, the peripartum, postpartum disorders, and the town of the farm are not significant (p>0.05). Accordingly, cows inseminated in the autumn season (HR = 4.45), cows less than or equal to 85 days calving to insemination interval (HR = 2.41), artificially inseminated cows (HR = 1.45), and high herd milk yield cow had a higher probability of becoming pregnant. In conclusion, the management practices and breeding decisions seem to be important determinants to improve the conception rate or decrease the days open in dairy cows.

摘要

本研究旨在确定奶牛产犊至配种间隔(开放天数)的中位数,并确定影响奶牛开放天数的主要风险因素。本研究对 2019 年 8 月至 2020 年 8 月在埃塞俄比亚东北沃洛地区德西和孔博尔查镇的奶牛进行了回顾性和前瞻性研究。生存分析的 Kaplan-Meier 模型用于确定开放天数的中位数,并比较可能影响奶牛开放天数的每个解释变量水平的生存分布。因此,奶牛的总受孕率为 44.7%。研究中的中位开放天数为 154 天。在产后 210 天结束时,存活的概率为 16%(即受孕事件尚未发生的概率)。Cox 比例风险模型用于量化每个解释变量对产后 210 天内开放天数的影响。对产犊至配种间隔有显著影响(p<0.05)的因素是配种季节、配种制度、产犊至配种间隔和牛群产奶量水平。然而,围产期、产后疾病和农场所在城镇没有显著影响(p>0.05)。因此,秋季配种的奶牛(HR=4.45)、产犊至配种间隔小于或等于 85 天的奶牛(HR=2.41)、人工授精的奶牛(HR=1.45)和产奶量高的奶牛受孕的可能性更高。总之,管理实践和繁殖决策似乎是提高奶牛受孕率或降低开放天数的重要决定因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4fd1/8853564/fc5cdb6f71d6/pone.0264029.g001.jpg

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