Servicio de Obstetricia, Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe, Valencia, Spain.
Departamento de Pediatría, Obstetricia y Ginecología, Universidad de Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med. 2022 Dec;35(25):9843-9850. doi: 10.1080/14767058.2022.2057794. Epub 2022 Mar 28.
to study the true determinants of adverse perinatal outcome (APO) in term healthy mothers with normal cardiotocograph (CTG), evaluating the real influence of maternal age.
In a retrospective study, we assessed a group of 529 term healthy mothers with normal CTGs that regardless of maternal age, evolved spontaneously up to 41 ± 2 weeks. The result of the conservative management was evaluated by means of univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis, determining the association of maternal age and other clinical and ultrasonographical parameters with APO.
In contrast with low CPR MoM (OR = 0.155, = .014), induction of labor (OR = 2.273, = .023) and low parity (OR = 0.494, = .026), maternal age and birth weight centile did not prove to be true determinants of perinatal outcome. The multivariable model for prediction of APO using clinical parameters presented a sensitivity of 35% and 27% for a false positive rate of 10% and 5%, AUC 0.736 (95% CI 0.655-0.818), < .0001).
in healthy old mothers with normal CTGs at term, APO is determined by low CPR, the existence of labor induction and low parity, while no real influence was observed for maternal age, fetal smallness, and interval examination-delivery. These results do not support the current consensus on induction at earlier weeks to prevent adverse outcomes in all cases of advanced maternal age, advocating for a more individualized, customized, and less interventional management based on fetal hemodynamics.
研究在正常胎心率(CTG)的足月健康母亲中不良围生期结局(APO)的真正决定因素,评估母亲年龄的实际影响。
在一项回顾性研究中,我们评估了一组 529 名足月健康母亲,其 CTG 正常,无论母亲年龄大小,均自发分娩至 41±2 周。通过单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析评估保守管理的结果,确定母亲年龄和其他临床及超声参数与 APO 的关联。
与低 CPR MoM(OR=0.155, = .014)、引产(OR=2.273, = .023)和低产次(OR=0.494, = .026)相比,母亲年龄和出生体重百分位数并未证明是围生期结局的真正决定因素。使用临床参数预测 APO 的多变量模型,其假阳性率为 10%和 5%时,敏感性分别为 35%和 27%,AUC 为 0.736(95%CI 0.655-0.818), < .0001)。
在 CTG 正常的健康高龄母亲中,APO 由低 CPR、引产和低产次决定,而母亲年龄、胎儿小、间隔检查-分娩对其无明显影响。这些结果不支持目前在所有高龄产妇中为预防不良结局而提前引产的共识,提倡根据胎儿血流动力学进行更个体化、定制化和非干预性的管理。