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城市化对中国细颗粒物浓度的多维影响。

Multidimensional effects of urbanization on PM concentration in China.

作者信息

Qi Guangzhi, Wang Zhibao, Wei Lijie, Wang Zhixiu

机构信息

College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University No, 1, University Road, Science Park, Changqing District, Jinan Shandong, 250358, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Nov;29(51):77081-77096. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21298-4. Epub 2022 Jun 8.

Abstract

Recently, the contradiction between urbanization and the air environment has gradually attracted attention. However, most existing studies have explored the impact of single urbanization factors, such as population, the economy, or land, on PM and ignored the impact of multidimensional urbanization on PM concentration. Moreover, the heterogeneity in the mechanisms responsible for the PM concentration caused by multidimensional urbanization has not been thoroughly studied in different regions in China. Therefore, we investigate the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of PM concentration in China during 1998-2019 by spatial analysis and dynamic panel models based on the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC). Then, we study the effects of multidimensional urbanization on PM concentration, and analyze the dominant factors in China's eight economic regions. During the study period, the PM concentration in China fluctuated before 2013 and gradually decreased thereafter. The PM concentration has significant regional differences in China. Spatially, the PM concentration is higher in the north than in the south and higher in the east than in the west. Additionally, there is a significant spatial spillover effect. Both population urbanization and economic urbanization show an inverted U-shaped relationship with PM concentration in China, which is consistent with the classical EKC theory. Due to other socioeconomic factors, the PM concentration tends to decrease linearly with increasing land urbanization rate. The effects of urbanization on the PM concentration in the eight economic regions in China show significant differences. The effect of land urbanization on the PM concentration is dominant in the Middle Yangtze River region, that of economic urbanization is dominant in northwestern China, and that of population urbanization is dominant in the remaining regions in China.

摘要

近年来,城市化与大气环境之间的矛盾逐渐受到关注。然而,大多数现有研究探讨的是单一城市化因素,如人口、经济或土地,对细颗粒物(PM)的影响,而忽略了多维城市化对PM浓度的影响。此外,中国不同地区多维城市化导致PM浓度变化的机制异质性尚未得到充分研究。因此,我们基于环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC),通过空间分析和动态面板模型,研究了1998 - 2019年中国PM浓度的时空演变特征。然后,我们研究了多维城市化对PM浓度的影响,并分析了中国八大经济区域的主导因素。在研究期间,中国的PM浓度在2013年前波动,之后逐渐下降。中国的PM浓度存在显著的区域差异。在空间上,北方的PM浓度高于南方,东部高于西部。此外,还存在显著的空间溢出效应。在中国,人口城市化和经济城市化与PM浓度均呈现倒U形关系,这与经典的EKC理论一致。由于其他社会经济因素,PM浓度随土地城市化率的增加呈线性下降趋势。城市化对中国八大经济区域PM浓度的影响存在显著差异。土地城市化对PM浓度的影响在长江中游地区占主导,经济城市化在西北地区占主导,人口城市化在中国其他地区占主导。

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