Heath Garvin A, Ravikumar Dwarakanath, Hansen Brianna, Kupets Elaine
Strategic Energy Analysis Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO, USA.
Joint Institute for Strategic Energy Analysis, Golden, CO, USA.
J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2022 Jun;72(6):478-539. doi: 10.1080/10962247.2022.2068878.
To meet net-zero emissions and cost targets for power production, recent analysis indicates that photovoltaic (PV) capacity in the United States could exceed 1 TW by 2050 alongside comparable levels of energy storage capacity, mostly from batteries. For comparison, the total U.S. utility-scale power capacity from all energy sources in 2020 was 1.2 TW, of which solar satisfied approximately 3%. With such massive scales of deployment, questions have arisen regarding issues of material supply for manufacturing, end-of-life management of technologies, environmental impacts across the life cycle, and economic costs to both individual consumers and society at large. A set of solutions to address these issues center on the development of a circular economy - shifting from a take-make-waste linear economic model to one that retains the value of materials and products as long as possible, recovering materials at end of life to recirculate back into the economy. With limited global experience, scholars and practitioners have begun to investigate circular economy pathways, focusing on applying novel technologies and analytical methods to fast-growing sectors like renewable energy. This critical review aims to synthesize the growing literature to identify key insights, gaps, and opportunities for research and implementation of a circular economy for two of the leading technologies that enable the transition to a renewable energy economy: solar PV and lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). We apply state-of-the-science systematic literature review procedures to critically analyze over 3,000 publications on the circular economy of solar PV and LIBs, categorizing those that pass a series of objective screens in ways that can illuminate the current state of the art, highlight existing impediments to a circular economy, and recommend future technological and analytical research. We conclude that while neither PV nor LIB industries have reached a circular economy, they are both on a path towards increased circularity. Based on our assessment of the state of current literature and scientific understanding, we recommend research move beyond its prior emphasis on recycling technology development to more comprehensively investigate other CE strategies, more holistically consider economic, environmental and policy aspects of CE strategies, increase leveraging of digital information systems that can support acceleration towards a CE, and to continue to study CE-related aspects of LIB and PV markets.
为实现电力生产的净零排放和成本目标,近期分析表明,到2050年,美国的光伏(PV)装机容量可能超过1太瓦,同时储能容量也将达到类似水平,主要来自电池。相比之下,2020年美国所有能源的公用事业规模总电力容量为1.2太瓦,其中太阳能约占3%。随着如此大规模的部署,关于制造材料供应、技术报废管理、整个生命周期的环境影响以及对个人消费者和整个社会的经济成本等问题也随之出现。一系列解决这些问题的方案都围绕着循环经济的发展——从“取-制-弃”的线性经济模式转变为尽可能长时间保留材料和产品价值、在生命周期结束时回收材料以重新投入经济循环的模式。由于全球经验有限,学者和从业者已开始研究循环经济路径,重点是将新技术和分析方法应用于可再生能源等快速发展的领域。这篇批判性综述旨在综合不断增加的文献,以确定关键见解、差距以及循环经济在两种推动向可再生能源经济转型的领先技术(太阳能光伏和锂离子电池(LIBs))的研究与实施方面的机遇。我们采用科学的系统文献综述程序,对3000多篇关于太阳能光伏和LIBs循环经济的出版物进行批判性分析,将通过一系列客观筛选的文献进行分类,以阐明当前的技术水平,突出循环经济现有的障碍,并推荐未来的技术和分析研究方向。我们得出结论,虽然光伏和LIB行业都尚未实现循环经济,但它们都在朝着更高的循环性发展。基于我们对当前文献状态和科学理解的评估,我们建议研究超越以往对回收技术开发的强调,更全面地研究其他循环经济策略,更全面地考虑循环经济策略的经济、环境和政策方面,加强对能够支持加速向循环经济发展的数字信息系统的利用,并继续研究LIB和光伏市场与循环经济相关的方面。