A systematic increase in the slope of the concentration discharge relation for dissolved organic carbon in a forested catchment in Vermont, USA.

The production, mobilization and fluvial transport of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) in temperate forests are important components of the carbon cycle that are influenced by ongoing changes in climate. Numerous studies have reported temporal trends in stream water DOC concentrations and have attributed changes in concentrations to climatic and hydrologic variables. Fewer studies have reported trends in concentration-discharge (C-Q) relations for DOC. The goal of this study was to detect and quantify changes in DOC concentration and slope of the C-Q relation from 1991 to 2018 in an intensively sampled forested research watershed in northern Vermont. Stream water DOC concentration and slope of the C-Q relation increased over time as did precipitation, stream discharge, and air temperature. The increases in DOC concentration and slope of the C-Q were substantially greater in the summer and fall (autumn) than in winter and spring. The largest increases in the magnitude of C-Q slopes occurred in the December, October and September. The increases in slope of the C-Q relation in summer and fall were larger for baseflow than for storm flow. The increases in DOC concentration and slope of the C-Q relation over time may be related to increasing temperature, longer growing seasons, and associated increases in production and microbial decomposition of soil organic matter that supplies DOC for mobilization to streams. The results suggest that in a changing climate, C-Q relations may not necessarily be stationary and therefore analyses that attempt to estimate future DOC concentrations and loads should consider potentially changing C-Q relations over time.